Result
0:3
19/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 10
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (302/388) | 78% (296/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (302/388) | 78% (296/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/109) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Almena I. ⚽, Hrgovic S. (A),
- 39', Rebic A. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Sego M. ⚽, Rebic A. (A),
- 45', Loncar S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hrgovic S. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 46', Mauric A. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 47', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
- 62', Rozic V. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 65', Rebic A. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 65', Sarlija Z. ↓, Raci R. ↑,
- 74', Hodak L. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,
- 74', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 3, Sego M. ⚽,
- 79', Pajaziti A. ↓, Guillamon H. ↑,
- 80', Heister M. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
27.8% | Draw
30.1% | Hajduk Split
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↓
(3.63) |
3.11 ↓
(3.24) |
2.24 ↑
(2.08) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Hajduk will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 1 - 50%). Hajduk (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- Istra 1961 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Hajduk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Durdov B.
(Injury)
Livaja M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanyang A.
(Injury)
Skelin M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Istra 1961: Jay A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Hajduk Split?
Istra 1961 has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Istra 1961?
Hajduk Split has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split were as follows:
03.08.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Istra 1961
2:1
23.04.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Istra 1961
0:1
15.02.2025
Istra 1961
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
09.11.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Istra 1961
1:1
25.08.2024
Istra 1961
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
