Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 8
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/400) | 82% (397/484) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/400) | 82% (397/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (40/77) | 64% (66/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Rebic A. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Livaja M. ↓, Krovinovic F. ↑,
- 46', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 46', Boskovic B. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 57', Guillamon H. 🟨,
- 57', Vukovic D. 🟨,
- 60', Rebic A. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 62', Katic I. 🟨,
- 74', Krivak F. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
- 76', Guillamon H. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 76', Pajaziti A. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,
- 81', Kolinger D. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 0, Kalik A. ⚽, Karacic F. (A),
- 87', Pajac M. ↓, Leovac M. ↑,
- 87', Katic I. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
- 88', Raci R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Almena I. ↓, Brajkovic R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
71.2% | Draw
18.7% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hajduk Split that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+2%)
Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↑
(1.31) |
5.17 ↑
(4.9) |
10.23 ↑
(8.35) |
4%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiva: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 2.
- Hajduk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lokomotiva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hajduk is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Skelin M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Antolic D.
(Inactive)
Boune M.
(Inactive)
Gorican S.
(Inactive)
Lorber M.
(Inactive)
Situm M.
(Inactive)
Susak M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:27. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Hajduk Split has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Hajduk Split?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
13.04.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
02.02.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
3:2
26.10.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
11.08.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
25.05.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
2:5
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
