Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 26
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (298/355) | 83% (340/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.36 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (298/355) | 83% (340/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (78/115) | 74% (57/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 4.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 2.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Livaja M. ⚽, Rebic A. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Rebic A. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Trajkovski A. ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
- 46', Kamenovic D. ↓, Situm M. ↑,
- 46', Boskovic B. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 59', Sarlija Z. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Sabra I. ⚽, Pajac M. (A),
- 72', Guillamon H. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 79', Stojakovic A. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 81', Vasilj J. 🟨,
- 84', Subotic M. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
- 85', Rebic A. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 90', Livaja M. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hajduk Split
59.8% | Draw
23.8% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.49) |
3.93 ↓
(4.21) |
5.64 ↓
(6.1) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hajduk will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 3.
- Hajduk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lokomotiva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lokomotiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hajduk is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Hajduk: Almena I.
(Inactive)
Durdov B.
(Inactive)
Ivusic I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Leovac M.
(Injury)
Mbacke D.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Inactive)
Vukovic D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Lokomotiva: Subotic M.
(Injury)
Virgili D.
(Inactive)
Vukovic D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hajduk won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 47:27. (average 2.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hajduk won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Hajduk Split has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Hajduk Split?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
13.12.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
1:3
27.09.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:0
13.04.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
02.02.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
3:2
26.10.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
