Rayos de Hermosillo vs Halcones de Obregón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
90:89
14/03/2026 at 23:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CIBACOPA

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6066
Field goals made
3235
Field goals %
53.33%53.03%
2-point field goals attempts
3850
2-point field goals made
2131
2-point field goals %
55.26%62%
3-point field goals attempts
2216
3-point field goals made
114
3-point field goals %
50%25%
Free throws attempts
2523
Free throws made
1515
Free throws %
60%65.2%
Offensive rebounds
119
Defensive rebounds
2521
Total rebounds
3630
Assists
1617
Blocks
60
Turnovers
1812
Steals
89
Personal fouls
2120

Chances of winning


Rayos de Hermosillo
30.9%
Halcones de Obregón
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayos de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Halcones de Obregón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayos de Hermosillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halcones de Obregón than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Halcones de Obregón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rayos de Hermosillo - Halcones de Obregón Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.82)

    1.33
    (1.33)
    8.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 3.
    • Recent performances by Rayos de Hermosillo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Halcones de Obregón is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rayos de Hermosillo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rayos de Hermosillo has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Halcones de Obregón is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayos de Hermosillo won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1730:1745. (average 86.5:87.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayos de Hermosillo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 838:802. (average 83.8:80.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayos de Hermosillo - Halcones de Obregón were as follows:
    13.03.2026 Rayos de Hermosillo - Halcones de Obregón 87:86
    12.04.2025 Halcones de Obregón - Rayos de Hermosillo 73:76
    11.04.2025 Halcones de Obregón - Rayos de Hermosillo 103:84
    02.04.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Halcones de Obregón 75:94
    01.04.2025 Rayos de Hermosillo - Halcones de Obregón 74:73
    Mexican CIBACOPA Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Astros770633:5411.000
    2Zonkeys de Tijuana161151404:13340.688
    3Halcones de Obregon14951296:12290.643
    4Toros Laguna14951253:11920.643
    5Frayles de Guasave14861328:13100.571
    6Pioneros de Los Mochis14771305:13140.500
    7Rayos de Hermosillo13671086:11480.462
    8Angeles CDMX14681284:12620.429
    9Ostioneros de Guaymas144101248:13020.286
    10Caballeros de Culiacan144101277:13810.286
    11Venados de Mazatlan164121372:14730.250

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