Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.06
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (321/395)85% (419/493)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.71
Total shots
917
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
814
Passes
81% (321/395)85% (419/493)
Long passes
42% (26/62)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
72% (54/75)72% (126/174)
Crosses
17% (4/24)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.48
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
148
Tackles
60% (15/25)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.711.06
Goals prevented
-0.290.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Poulsen Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Poulsen Y. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Chukwuemeka C. ⚽, Schlotterbeck N. (A),
  • 66', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 74', Philippe R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 74', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
  • 82', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
  • 89', Torunarigha J. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 89', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gross P. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Guirassy S. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
23.8%		Draw
23.9%		Borussia Dortmund
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 23% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 22.5% 55.1%

Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.13 ↑
(4.13)		 4.07 ↓
(4.13)		 1.83 ↑
(1.76)		 3.3%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Borussia D (2.08) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.46% – 93.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • In recent matches, Hamburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Borussia D is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W. (Knee Injury) Pherai I. (Red Card) Vieira F. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Back Injury) Brandt J. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    05.11.2025 Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund 4:1 ✺
    31.10.2025 Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund 0:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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