Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.06
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
917
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (321/395)85% (419/493)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.501.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.71
Total shots
917
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
814
Passes
81% (321/395)85% (419/493)
Long passes
42% (26/62)43% (16/37)
Passes in final third
72% (54/75)72% (126/174)
Crosses
17% (4/24)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.48
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
148
Tackles
60% (15/25)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4947
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.711.06
Goals prevented
-0.290.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Poulsen Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Poulsen Y. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Chukwuemeka C. ⚽, Schlotterbeck N. (A),
  • 66', Beier M. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 74', Philippe R. ↓, Glatzel R. ↑,
  • 74', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
  • 82', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
  • 89', Torunarigha J. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 89', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gross P. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Guirassy S. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 1 - 1, Konigsdorffer R. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
23.8%		Draw
23.9%		Borussia Dortmund
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 23% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5% 22.5% 55.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.13 ↑
    (4.13)    		 4.07 ↓
    (4.13)    		 1.83 ↑
    (1.76)    		 3.3%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75 - Borussia D (2.08) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - Borussia D (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Hamburg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Borussia D (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.46% – 93.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Borussia D (votes: 15 - 93.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • In recent matches, Hamburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Borussia D is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W. (Knee Injury) Pherai I. (Red Card) Vieira F. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Back Injury) Brandt J. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    05.11.2025 Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund 4:1 ✺
    31.10.2025 Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund 0:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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