Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 7
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.36
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
276
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
83% (417/501)73% (242/332)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
2.470.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.33
Total shots
276
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
4313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
188
Passes
83% (417/501)73% (242/332)
Long passes
58% (33/57)25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
70% (92/132)49% (37/76)
Crosses
20% (8/40)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.75
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
818
Tackles
46% (6/13)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5936
Clearances
1343
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.331.71
Goals prevented
-0.671.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Daghim A. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
  • 24', Vini Souza 🟨,
  • 28', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Konigsdorffer R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
  • 57', Vini Souza ↓, Dardai B. ↑,
  • 64', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 64', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
  • 68', Wind J. 🟨,
  • 68', Eriksen C. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
  • 68', Wind J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
  • 71', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
  • 71', Svanberg M. 🟨,
  • 76', Simonis P. 🟨,
  • 77', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
  • 86', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
  • 89', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 89', Elfadli D. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
  • 90', Wimmer P. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Polzin M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
36.4%		Draw
27.6%		Wolfsburg
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 26% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 26.4% 37.4%

Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.9 ↑
(2.59)		 3.65 ↓
(3.68)		 2.72 ↑
(2.6)		 -1.3%
(4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 48.2% – 79.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamburger SV will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2.
    • Recent performances by Hamburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Fischer K. (Ankle Injury) Lindstrom J. (Groin Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Hefti S. (Hip Injury) Soumahoro A. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Wimmer P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hamburger SV 0:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Hamburger SV - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV 5:0 ✺
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    18.10.2025 Wolfsburg - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    04.10.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 3:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 0:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Wolfsburg - Köln 3:3 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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