Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Albania | Tring Sport 7 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | See, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (417/501) | 73% (242/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (417/501) | 73% (242/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 25% (14/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (92/132) | 49% (37/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (8/40) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Daghim A. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
- 24', Vini Souza 🟨,
- 28', Amoura M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Konigsdorffer R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Amoura M. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
- 57', Vini Souza ↓, Dardai B. ↑,
- 64', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 64', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
- 68', Wind J. 🟨,
- 68', Eriksen C. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
- 68', Wind J. ↓, Skov Olsen A. ↑,
- 71', Vuskovic L. 🟨,
- 71', Svanberg M. 🟨,
- 76', Simonis P. 🟨,
- 77', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 86', Kumbedi S. ↓, Maehle J. ↑,
- 89', Capaldo N. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 89', Elfadli D. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
- 90', Wimmer P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Polzin M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
36.4% | Draw
27.6% | Wolfsburg
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.59) |
3.65 ↓
(3.68) |
2.72 ↑
(2.6) |
-1.3%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 8 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 48.2% – 79.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Hamburg (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Hamburg (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Hamburg (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamburger SV will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Hamburg (votes: 16 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2.
- Recent performances by Hamburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wolfsburg is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Hamburg: Omari W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Fischer K.
(Ankle Injury)
Lindstrom J.
(Groin Injury)
Paredes K.
(Foot Injury)
Rogerio
(Muscle Injury)
Vavro D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Hamburg: Hefti S.
(Hip Injury)
Soumahoro A.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Wimmer P.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Wolfsburg?
Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Hamburger SV?
Wolfsburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg were as follows:
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 79:19 | 60 | 54 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 43:20 | 23 | 48 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32:33 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 41:46 | -5 | 28 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 22 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 22 |
| 14 | Mainz | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29:44 | -15 | 19 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 19:47 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
