Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV App
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.841.82
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
47
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
73
Passes
71% (280/394)72% (266/371)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.841.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.212.43
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
72
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2812
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
33
Free kicks
618
Passes
71% (280/394)72% (266/371)
Long passes
30% (20/66)33% (23/69)
Passes in final third
57% (73/129)55% (47/86)
Crosses
29% (7/24)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.39
Throw ins
2822
Fouls
186
Tackles
50% (6/12)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4965
Clearances
2840
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
2.431.21
Goals prevented
0.430.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Elfadli D. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Eriksen C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 32', Jenz M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Vuskovic L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', Lindstrom J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Elfadli D. ↓, Omari W. ↑,
  • 57', Adjetey J. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Dompe J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Lindstrom J. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
  • 60', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
  • 60', Burger J. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
  • 67', Dompe J. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 67', Otele P. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
  • 69', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
  • 77', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
  • 77', Jenz M. ↓, Arnold M. ↑,
  • 86', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
  • 90+6', Vieira F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
36.7%		Draw
28.4%		Hamburger SV
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 25.8% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.9% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.35)    		 3.38 ↓
    (3.68)    		 2.73 ↓
    (2.82)    		 4.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 16 - 43.2%). Hamburg will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 40.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 27.2% – 59.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 25%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Wolfsburg (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 4 - 40%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hamburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    01.03.2026 Stuttgart - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Augsburg 2:3 ✺
    15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    30.01.2026 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    04.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺
    20.02.2026 Mainz - Hamburger SV 1:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Hamburger SV - Union Berlin 3:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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