Raith Rovers vs Hamilton Academical – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy).

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, O'Connor D. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Cameron F. ⚽, Aitken K. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Brown S. ⚽,
58', 3 - 1, Rowe J. ⚽, Montagu K. (A),
79', 3 - 2, Cameron F. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽, Mullin J. (A),
87', 5 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Raith Rovers
67%

Draw
20.3%

Hamilton Academical
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.5%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.5%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamilton Academical might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raith Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamilton Academical could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.57)	3.94 ↑ (3.87)	6.43 ↑ (4.86)	19% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Raith (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Raith (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Raith is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:24. (average 2.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Raith Rovers won against Hamilton Academical?

Raith Rovers has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hamilton Academical won against Raith Rovers?

Hamilton Academical has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical were as follows:

29.03.2025 Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers 0:3

22.02.2025 Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical 2:0

28.01.2025 Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers 0:3

21.09.2024 Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical 3:3

27.07.2024 Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical 2:1

Latest results of Raith Rovers

06.12.2025 St. Johnstone - Raith Rovers 0:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Raith Rovers - Alloa Athletic 1:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Arbroath - Raith Rovers 0:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians 0:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Queens Park - Raith Rovers 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Hamilton Academical

06.12.2025 Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical 0:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical 4:0 ✺

22.11.2025 Hamilton Academical - Kelty Hearts 3:1 ✺

15.11.2025 Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical 2:1 ✺

11.11.2025 Hamilton Academical - Glasgow Rangers B 3:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Arbroath	Kelty Hearts	3 : 2
2	Elgin City	East Fife	2 : 3
3	Alloa	Airdrieonians	2 : 3
4	Montrose	Spartans	2 : 1
5	Queen's Park	Clyde	2 : 1
6	Forfar Athletic	Edinburgh City	2 : 1
7	Raith	Hamilton	5 : 2
8	Queen of South	Dunfermline	4 : 3
9	Hearts B	St Johnstone	0 : 1
10	Ross County	Celtic B	4 : 0
11	Ayr	Peterhead	2 : 1
12	East Kilbride	Stranraer	1 : 4
13	Cove Rangers	Partick Thistle	1 : 2
14	Dumbarton	Inverness	0 : 9
15	Stirling	Morton	3 : 2
16	Stenhousemuir	Annan	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Arbroath	East Fife	3 : 0
2	Airdrieonians	Montrose	3 : 1
3	Queen's Park	Forfar Athletic	2 : 0
4	Raith	Queen of South	1 : 0
5	St Johnstone	Ross County	2 : 0
6	Ayr	Stranraer	4 : 1
7	Partick Thistle	Inverness	3 : 4
8	Stirling	Stenhousemuir	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Arbroath	Airdrieonians	2 : 3
2	Queen's Park	Raith	1 : 2
3	St Johnstone	Ayr	3 : 4
4	Inverness	Stenhousemuir	1 : 0

Semi-finals

1	Airdrieonians	Raith	1 : 2
2	Ayr	Inverness	1 : 2

Final

1

Raith

Inverness