Hamilton Academical vs Stenhousemuir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 24

Match Stats

Yellow cards
33
Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Simpson E. 🟨,
  • 35', MacDonald K. 🟨,
  • 42', Meechan R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Whyte O. ,
  • 67', Taylor R. , O'Reilly E. ,
  • 68', Black B. , Morgan L. ,
  • 72', Simpson E. , Crookston G. ,
  • 79', Ritchie-Hosler K. , Cameron Z. ,
  • 82', Jamieson N. 🟨,
  • 84', Smutek K. , Newbury C. ,
  • 84', Grant L. , McGill S. ,
  • 90+4', Kilday L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Crookston G. 🟥,
  • 90+5', O'Reilly E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hamilton Academical
30.3%
Draw
27.7%
Stenhousemuir
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 28.1% 44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.9% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (3.4)
    3.33
    (3.31)
    2.2
    (2.08)
    8.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hamilton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hamilton Academical will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hamilton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Stenhousemuir has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamilton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical 0:0
    27.09.2025 Hamilton Academical - Stenhousemuir 2:0
    Latest results of Hamilton Academical
    Latest results of Stenhousemuir
    21.02.2026 Inverness - Stenhousemuir 1:1
    14.02.2026 Stenhousemuir - Montrose 2:2
    08.02.2026 Stenhousemuir - Falkirk 0:2
    31.01.2026 Stenhousemuir - Peterhead 2:2
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inverness30188452:203257
    2Stenhousemuir301511441:221956
    3Alloa30138945:301547
    4Queen of South301281047:41644
    5Peterhead301161343:53-1039
    6Montrose301081242:55-1338
    7East Fife30861629:54-2530
    8Cove Rangers306101434:39-528
    9Hamilton301371046:341225
    10Kelty Hearts303101725:56-3119

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: )
          League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two