Result
1:0
26/05/2025 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 11
- Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (607/674) | 74% (208/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (607/674) | 74% (208/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (202/234) | 67% (67/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 44% (12/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Hien L. ↓, Lindell E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Skoglund H. ↓, Tounekti S. ↑,
- 47', Vagic P. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 0, Besara N. ⚽, Tekie T. (A),
- 68', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
- 68', Girmai N. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
- 69', Abraham P. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 81', Madjed M. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
- 81', Boudah A. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
- 86', Diaby M. ↓, Heden A. ↑,
- 88', Tounekti S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Besara N. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hammarby
68.1% | Draw
19.5% | Degerfors
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hammarby's performance.Degerfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+3%)
Hammarby - Degerfors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.5) |
4.89 ↑
(4.33) |
7.76 ↑
(6) |
5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hammarby - Degerfors?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Hammarby will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hammarby: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 4.
- Hammarby has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Degerfors is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Degerfors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hammarby is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Hammarby: Collander D.
(Knee Injury)
Winther F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Degerfors: Pikkarainen J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Hammarby: Erabi J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Degerfors: Lundgren M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hammarby won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 35:11. (average 2.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hammarby won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 3.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hammarby won against Degerfors?
Hammarby has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Degerfors won against Hammarby?
Degerfors has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hammarby - Degerfors were as follows:
25.05.2023
Degerfors
-
Hammarby
2:2
02.04.2023
Hammarby
-
Degerfors
3:1
22.08.2022
Hammarby
-
Degerfors
5:1
Latest results of Hammarby
Latest results of Degerfors
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 31:14 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | AIK | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | GAIS | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 28 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 8 | Hacken | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Norrkoping | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Halmstad | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:31 | -17 | 17 |
| 13 | Sirius | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 13 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
