Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 1.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
73% (204/281) | 70% (233/331) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.37 | 1.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.38 | 1.25 |
Total shots |
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10 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
73% (204/281) | 70% (233/331) |
Long passes |
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32% (20/62) | 43% (31/72) |
Passes in final third |
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57% (45/79) | 46% (36/79) |
Crosses |
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31% (5/16) | 23% (5/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.43 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (4/8) | 100% (5/5) |
Duels won |
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42 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.25 | 0.38 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.25 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Ashraf M. ↓, Bayoumi M. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 0, Badji P. ⚽, El Ghandour K. (A),
- 38', Ragab M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', El Ghandour K. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
- 46', Hafez H. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
- 62', El Badry M. ↓, El Henawy F. ↑,
- 62', Fekri S. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
- 63', El Sheikh A. ↓, Ouka M. ↑,
- 72', El Negely M. 🟨,
- 75', Amadi S. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
- 81', Samadou A. 🟨,
- 84', Hamdi M. (Pen),
- 89', Badji P. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
- 90+1', Samadou A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Abdelhakim I. ↓, Ashraf I. ↑,
- 90+2', Bayoumi M. ↓, Damilola E. ↑,
- 90+8', Yehia A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smouha 62.7% | Draw 26.3% | Haras El-Hodood 11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smouha's performance.Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Smouha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Smouha - Haras El-Hodood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↓ (1.7) |
3.65 ↑ (2.87) |
8.76 ↑ (6.47) |
3.9% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Smouha - Haras El-Hodood?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Smouha is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Haras El-Hodood?
Smouha has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against Smouha?
Haras El-Hodood has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smouha - Haras El-Hodood were as follows:
30.10.2024
Haras El-Hodood
-
Smouha
1:3
26.02.2023
Smouha
-
Haras El-Hodood
3:0
01.11.2022
Haras El-Hodood
-
Smouha
0:0
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zamalek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
2 | Al Masry | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Wadi Degla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Enppi | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
6 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Al Ahly | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
9 | ZED | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
11 | Smouha | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
14 | El Gaish | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
15 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
16 | El Gouna | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
17 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Pharco | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
19 | Arab Contractors | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:9 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )