Result
1:3
19/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 32
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Rudenko Daniil 🟨,
- 38', Podholjuzin M. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Rudenko Daniil ⚽, Laur K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Lotar Eyang E. E. ↓, Patrikejevs I. ↑,
- 46', Baptista T. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Orlov M. (A),
- 56', 1 - 2, Mashchenko D. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 57', Kaevats A. 🟨,
- 69', Ussa ↓, Kartau I. ↑,
- 69', Kriis K. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 76', Ivanov N. 🟨,
- 78', Tambedou M. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
- 81', Sillamaa R. ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Ivanov N. ⚽, Mashchenko D. (A),
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri
14.1% | Draw
19.2% | Nõmme Kalju
66.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.57 ↑
(6.09) |
4.84 ↑
(4.75) |
1.39 ↓
(1.41) |
7.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 0.
- Recent performances by Harju have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Harju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Harju has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Nõmme Kalju?
Harju JK Laagri has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Harju JK Laagri?
Nõmme Kalju has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
24.09.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:3
18.06.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:0
09.04.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
3:0
11.01.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
0:0
14.10.2023
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
3:1
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
