Result
2:3
24/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 25
- Referee: Uprus T. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Total shots |
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13 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Kask K. ⚽, Tarassenkov D. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 31', 1 - 2, Sillamaa R. ⚽, Kriis K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Karimu M. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
- 49', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
- 60', Baptista T. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 60', Ivanov N. ↓, Patrikejevs I. ↑,
- 60', Podholjuzin M. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 2, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
- 64', Kelement M. 🟨,
- 68', Reimaa R. ↓, Camara N. ↑,
- 72', Rudenko Daniil 🟨,
- 73', Musolitin O. 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 78', Mashchenko D. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 78', Kask K. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Patrikejevs I. ⚽,
- 90', Roomussaar K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Harju JK Laagri 15.2% | Draw 19.3% | Nõmme Kalju 65.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.11 ↑ (5.72) |
4.82 ↑ (4.8) |
1.42 ↓ (1.43) |
7.6% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Harju will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Harju won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harju won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Nõmme Kalju?
Harju JK Laagri has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Harju JK Laagri?
Nõmme Kalju has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
18.06.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:0
09.04.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
3:0
11.01.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
0:0
14.10.2023
Nõmme Kalju
-
Harju JK Laagri
3:1
30.09.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flora | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 65:26 | 39 | 66 |
2 | Levadia | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 70:30 | 40 | 63 |
3 | Paide | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 47:26 | 21 | 55 |
4 | Kalju | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
5 | Narva | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 47:36 | 11 | 47 |
6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
7 | Harju JK Laagri | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 37:58 | -21 | 28 |
8 | Kuressaare | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 24 |
9 | Tammeka | 30 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 37:69 | -32 | 23 |
10 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 25:89 | -64 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga