Result
01/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 10
- Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2, Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV |
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
15.1% | Draw
20.4% | Nõmme Kalju
64.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Narva Trans's form might have worsened.Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme Kalju's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.02 ↑
(4.54) |
4.47 ↑
(3.7) |
1.41 ↓
(1.66) |
9.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 1.
- Narva Trans is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Nõmme Kalju?
Narva Trans has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Narva Trans?
Nõmme Kalju has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
03.04.2026
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
2:1
17.09.2025
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:0
17.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
1:2
15.06.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Narva Trans
2:0
19.04.2025
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:2
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
