Harrogate Town vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Davis W. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.04
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
60% (169/283)73% (331/451)
Yellow Cards
53
Expected Goals (xG)
1.211.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.75
Total shots
813
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
911
Passes
60% (169/283)73% (331/451)
Long passes
29% (26/89)33% (23/70)
Passes in final third
53% (60/114)57% (81/143)
Crosses
7% (1/14)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.76
Throw-ins
2239
Fouls
129
Tackles
68% (13/19)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
4827
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.751.37
Goals prevented
-1.25-1.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Bradbury T. 🟨,
  • 11', Duke-McKenna S. 🟨,
  • 15', Burrell W. 🟨,
  • 38', Rodgers H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 51', Burns D. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Smith R. ,
  • 66', Burns D. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 66', Khouri E. , Walker J. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Vernam C. , Green K. (A),
  • 71', 2 - 1, Taylor E. (Pen),
  • 73', Smith R. , McAleny C. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, McAleny C. , McCoulsky S. (A),
  • 77', Sweeney J. , Gardner C. ,
  • 78', McCoulsky S. , Cursons T. ,
  • 78', Duke-McKenna S. , Hill T. ,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Rodgers H. , Walker J. (A),
  • 88', McAleny C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Green K. , Brown H. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Kabia J. ,
  • 90+5', O'Connor A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Gardner C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Harrogate Town
30.2%
Draw
28.6%
Grimsby Town
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.6% 27.9% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.8% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (3.29)
    3.27
    (3.37)
    2.28
    (2.16)
    7.1%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Harrogate (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2.
    • Harrogate is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grimsby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Harrogate: Muldoon J. (Inactive) Sutton L. (Injury) Thomson G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Harrogate: Bennett M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Rose D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2
    26.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town 2:1
    09.04.2024 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 1:0
    23.12.2023 Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town 1:2
    21.02.2023 Grimsby Town - Harrogate Town 0:0
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley392213462:362679
    2MK Dons392111776:403674
    3Cambridge Utd382012656:282872
    4Notts Co382171065:392670
    5Swindon392161263:451869
    6Salford392141454:48667
    7Grimsby3817111056:401662
    8Chesterfield391614961:52962
    9Crewe391791358:471160
    10Walsall391791348:41760
    11Oldham371513944:311358
    12Barnet3915121249:43657
    13Fleetwood3914121348:46254
    14Colchester3814111350:41953
    15Accrington381391638:42-448
    16Gillingham3811121544:56-1245
    17Bristol Rovers391342240:60-2043
    18Cheltenham381191843:65-2242
    19Shrewsbury391182037:63-2641
    20Tranmere39992148:69-2136
    21Crawley396132036:60-2431
    22Newport39872439:67-2831
    23Harrogate39792329:58-2930
    24Barrow38782336:63-2729

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League