Harry Wendelken vs Pavel Kotov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
12/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
412
Double Faults
52
1st serve percentage
47%63%
1st serve points won
72% (31/43)74% (39/53)
2nd serve points won
45% (22/49)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
4/94/7
1st return points won
26% (14/53)30% (13/43)
2nd return points won
55% (17/31)55% (27/49)
Break Points Converted
3/75/9
Winners
1539
Unforced errors
2349
Net points won
50% (2/4)79% (15/19)
Service Points Won
58% (53/92)63% (53/84)
Return Points Won
37% (31/84)42% (39/92)
Total Points Won
48% (84/176)52% (92/176)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
67% (10/15)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)33% (5/15)
Total games won
45% (13/29)55% (16/29)

Chances of winning


Harry Wendelken
44.6%
Pavel Kotov
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.96)

    1.69
    (1.74)
    6.6%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Harry Wendelken - Pavel Kotov?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wendelken will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kotov will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wendelken is ranked ATP: 237. Kotov is ranked ATP: 299.
    • Wendelken is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kotov is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kotov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Kotov will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Harry Wendelken
    Latest results of Pavel Kotov