Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 8
- Referee: Doman T. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (495/566) | 80% (254/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (495/566) | 80% (254/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 57% (30/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (82/119) | 65% (58/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.25 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Mulumba R. ⚽, Douglas Tanque (A),
- 42', Saglam G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Douglas Tanque ↓, Samake W. ↑,
- 49', Berisbek R. 🟨,
- 55', Matur O. 🟨,
- 61', Temel S. ↓, Yildiz A. ↑,
- 62', Matur O. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Bacuna L. ⚽, Albayrak M. (A),
- 72', 0 - 3, Ciftci H. ⚽, Ndongala D. (A),
- 73', Sarka B. ↓, Durmushan U. ↑,
- 73', Demir C. ↓, Buz Y. A. ↑,
- 73', Alici K. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 79', Bamgboye F. 🟨,
- 85', Ozcimen A. 🟨,
- 87', Berisbek R. ↓, Burgaz G. ↑,
- 87', Ndongala D. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
- 87', Mulumba R. ↓, Kalender T. ↑,
- 90+1', Albayrak M. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
34.3% | Draw
25.5% | Bandırmaspor
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hatayspor's performance.Bandırmaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bandırmaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(3.31) |
3.65 ↑
(3.54) |
2.3 ↑
(2.04) |
7.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bandırmaspor will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Bandırmaspor could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Hodzic A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Gumuskaya M.
(Injury)
Turkmen C.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Bandırmaspor?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Hatayspor?
Bandırmaspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 17 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Pendikspor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Corum | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Erzurumspor | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Igdir FK | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Amedspor | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Boluspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Vanspor FK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | Serik Spor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Bandirmaspor | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 13 | Keciorengucu | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | Sakaryaspor | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:20 | -11 | 3 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:31 | -27 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
