Result
2:4
03/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 34
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (309/378) | 91% (401/441) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (309/378) | 91% (401/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 68% (30/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (50/70) | 84% (119/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Strandberg C. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Piatek K. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
- 25', Bamgboye F. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 2, Sari Y. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
- 45+2', Piatek K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 2, Boutobba B. ⚽, Corekci K. (A),
- 62', Turuc D. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
- 76', Bamgboye F. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
- 76', Corekci K. ↓, Alici K. ↑,
- 76', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
- 77', Kemen O. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
- 77', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 3, Brnic I. ⚽,
- 85', Operi C. 🟨,
- 87', Saglam G. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 88', Sari Y. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
- 88', Piatek K. ↓, Keny P. P. ↑,
- 89', Kilama G. 🟨,
- 90', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 4, Figueiredo J. (Pen),
- 90+3', Sertel C. ↓, Sarka B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
16.7% | Draw
20.3% | İstanbul Başakşehir
63% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-15.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.71 ↑
(3.86) |
4.66 ↑
(3.61) |
1.5 ↓
(1.96) |
5.8%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
İstanbul Başakşehir will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 6).
- Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 0.
- Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Başakşehir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Başakşehir is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L.
(Injury)
Fernandes J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Ergun O.
(Broken ankle)
- We predict that Başakşehir will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Hatayspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Hatayspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
08.12.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Hatayspor
3:0
27.04.2024
Hatayspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:2
07.02.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Hatayspor
2:1
10.12.2023
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Hatayspor
1:0
07.11.2022
Hatayspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
3:3
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goztepe | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kayserispor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Basaksehir | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Kocaelispor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Eyupspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Karagumruk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Gaziantep | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
