Hatayspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin).

Super Lig - Round 34
Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	2.71
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
82% (309/378)	91% (401/441)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	2.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	2.69
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
1	8
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	4
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
19	35
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
82% (309/378)	91% (401/441)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	68% (30/44)
Passes in final third
71% (50/70)	84% (119/141)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.46	1.66
Throw-ins
11	14
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
63% (10/16)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
44	44
Clearances
20	26
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
2.69	1.18
Goals prevented
-1.31	-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Strandberg C. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Piatek K. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
25', Bamgboye F. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Sari Y. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
45+2', Piatek K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 2 - 2, Boutobba B. ⚽, Corekci K. (A),
62', Turuc D. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
76', Bamgboye F. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
76', Corekci K. ↓, Alici K. ↑,
76', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
77', Kemen O. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
77', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
82', 2 - 3, Brnic I. ⚽,
85', Operi C. 🟨,
87', Saglam G. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
88', Sari Y. ↓, Ebosele F. ↑,
88', Piatek K. ↓, Keny P. P. ↑,
89', Kilama G. 🟨,
90', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 4, Figueiredo J. (Pen),
90+3', Sertel C. ↓, Sarka B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Hatayspor
16.7%

Draw
20.3%

İstanbul Başakşehir
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.5%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

27.1%

47.8%

Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (3.86)	4.66 ↑ (3.61)	1.5 ↓ (1.96)	5.8% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?

Users Predictions: İstanbul Başakşehir will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 6).
Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 0.
Hatayspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Başakşehir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Başakşehir is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L. (Injury) Fernandes J. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Başakşehir: Ergun O. (Broken ankle)
We predict that Başakşehir will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?

Hatayspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Hatayspor?

İstanbul Başakşehir has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:

08.12.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor 3:0

27.04.2024 Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:2

07.02.2024 İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor 2:1

10.12.2023 İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor 1:0

07.11.2022 Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:3

Latest results of Hatayspor

25.04.2025 Beşiktaş - Hatayspor 5:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Hatayspor - Konyaspor 2:3 ✺

13.04.2025 Gaziantep - Hatayspor 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Hatayspor - Eyüpspor 0:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Kayserispor - Hatayspor 5:0 ✺

Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir

28.04.2025 Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir 4:1 ✺

20.04.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Gaziantep 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Konyaspor 1:0 ✺

31.03.2025 Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:3 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	15	11	3	1	32:11	21	36
2	Trabzonspor	15	10	4	1	27:13	14	34
3	Fenerbahce	15	9	6	0	32:14	18	33
4	Goztepe	15	7	5	3	18:9	9	26
5	Samsunspor	15	6	7	2	22:16	6	25
6	Besiktas	14	7	3	4	24:17	7	24
7	Gaziantep	14	6	4	4	21:22	-1	22
8	Kocaelispor	15	5	4	6	12:15	-3	19
9	Basaksehir	15	4	5	6	20:17	3	17
10	Alanyaspor	14	3	7	4	14:15	-1	16
11	Konyaspor	15	4	4	7	20:24	-4	16
12	Rizespor	15	3	6	6	17:23	-6	15
13	Genclerbirligi	15	4	2	9	17:21	-4	14
14	Kasimpasa	15	3	5	7	14:21	-7	14
15	Antalyaspor	14	4	2	8	14:25	-11	14
16	Eyupspor	15	3	4	8	10:18	-8	13
17	Kayserispor	15	2	7	6	15:32	-17	13
18	Karagumruk	15	2	2	11	13:29	-16	8

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig