Hatayspor vs Sarıyer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin).

1. Lig - Round 16
Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.25
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
1	11
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
87% (395/453)	86% (355/412)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.05	2.70
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
1	11
Shots off target
4	0
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
3	10
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
10	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
8	13
Passes
87% (395/453)	86% (355/412)
Long passes
56% (30/54)	59% (32/54)
Passes in final third
66% (59/90)	73% (69/95)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	1.57
Throw-ins
12	13
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
70% (7/10)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
35	41
Clearances
15	15
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	1
xGOT faced
2.70	0.05
Goals prevented
-0.30	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Alici K. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Anziani J. ⚽, Traore H. (A),
32', 0 - 2, Djilobodji P. ⚽, Bayram O. (A),
42', Traore H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Engul B. ↓, Dembele P. M. ↑,
46', Bayram O. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
46', Traore H. ↓, Regattin A. ↑,
56', 0 - 3, Dembele P. M. ⚽, Urie A. (A),
61', Saglam G. 🟨,
62', Sarka B. ↓, Guler E. ↑,
69', Saglam G. ↓, Aydin S. M. ↑,
69', Yilmaz B. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
78', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Mert M. ↑,
80', Anziani J. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
82', Parmak A. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
82', Buz Y. A. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Hatayspor
17.6%

Draw
19.7%

Sarıyer
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.1%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Hatayspor - Sarıyer Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.78)	4.79 ↑ (4.2)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	8.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Sarıyer?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarıyer: 41.6% – 98.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sarıyer (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1 - Sarıyer (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Sarıyer (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 4.
Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sarıyer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hatayspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sarıyer is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Sarıyer?

Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sarıyer won against Hatayspor?

Sarıyer has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Sarıyer were as follows:

31.10.2023 Hatayspor - Sarıyer 2:0

Latest results of Hatayspor

01.12.2025 Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor 3:3 ✺

22.11.2025 Hatayspor - Pendikspor 0:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Amed SK - Hatayspor 2:1 ✺

31.10.2025 Hatayspor - Erzurumspor 0:3 ✺

24.10.2025 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Sarıyer

03.12.2025 İstanbulspor - Sarıyer 6:0 ✺

30.11.2025 Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor 1:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer 3:0 ✺

07.11.2025 Sarıyer - Vanspor 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer 3:0 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	32	20	9	3	74:23	51	69
2	Amedspor	32	20	7	5	68:32	36	67
3	Erokspor	32	18	9	5	73:30	43	63
4	Corum	32	19	5	8	53:34	19	62
5	Bodrumspor	32	17	6	9	67:35	32	57
6	Pendikspor	32	14	12	6	49:27	22	54
7	Bandirmaspor	32	13	9	10	42:33	9	48
8	Keciorengucu	32	12	11	9	63:40	23	47
9	Sivasspor	32	12	11	9	40:31	9	47
10	Igdir FK	32	12	9	11	40:44	-4	45
11	Vanspor FK	32	11	10	11	42:35	7	43
12	Manisa FK	32	12	7	13	46:52	-6	43
13	Boluspor	32	12	6	14	50:44	6	42
14	Umraniyespor	32	11	6	15	38:41	-3	39
15	Sariyer	32	11	6	15	34:41	-7	39
16	Istanbulspor AS	32	9	12	11	38:48	-10	39
17	Serik Spor	32	10	5	17	38:60	-22	35
18	Sakaryaspor	32	8	8	16	41:56	-15	32
19	Hatayspor	32	0	7	25	22:88	-66	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	0	3	29	17:141	-124	-57

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to