Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:96
15/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
1615
Behinds
86
Kicks
192204
Handballs
168135
Disposals
360339
Frees For
1921
Frees Against
2119
Clearances Completed
5035
Marks
7269
Tackles
6758
Hitouts
5437

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (32 - 12)
  • 02:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:12, Moore D. (G),
  • 07:55, Miller T. (G),
  • 09:49, Long B. (G),
  • 12:21, Walter J. (Behind),
  • 14:21, Humphrey B. (G),
  • 18:22, King B. (G),
  • 23:36, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 29:24, Watson N. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 00:53, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 06:42, King B. (Behind),
  • 09:05, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 12:24, Long B. (G),
  • 14:19, Clohesy S. (G),
  • 15:32, Flanders S. (G),
  • 21:26, Watson N. (G),
  • 22:35, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:02, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 25:10, Anderson N. (G),
  • 30:56, Watson N. (G),
  • 32:30, Amon K. (G),
  • 34:54, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 31)
  • 00:22, Flanders S. (Behind),
  • 04:38, King B. (G),
  • 06:35, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 09:51, Chol M. (G),
  • 13:13, Long B. (Behind),
  • 14:47, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 19:00, Newcombe J. (G),
  • 20:31, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 25:09, Morrison H. (G),
  • 28:49, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 21)
  • 02:31, Swallow D. (G),
  • 03:43, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 05:40, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Long B. (G),
  • 16:32, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 18:26, Chol M. (G),
  • 19:50, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 20:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:04, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 23:31, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 24:45, Miller T. (G),
  • 27:46, Long B. (G),
  • 29:43, Chol M. (G),

Chances of winning


Gold Coast Suns
61.2%
Hawthorn Hawks
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.89)

    2.39
    (1.93)
    7.4%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
    What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gold Coast could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1193:1305. (average 70.2:76.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 632:421. (average 90.3:60.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 109:56
    25.06.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 101:34
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )