Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks
Result
104:96
15/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
1615
Behinds
86
Kicks
192204
Handballs
168135
Disposals
360339
Frees For
1921
Frees Against
2119
Clearances Completed
5035
Marks
7269
Tackles
6758
Hitouts
5437

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (32 - 12)
  • 02:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:12, Moore D. (G),
  • 07:55, Miller T. (G),
  • 09:49, Long B. (G),
  • 12:21, Walter J. (Behind),
  • 14:21, Humphrey B. (G),
  • 18:22, King B. (G),
  • 23:36, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 29:24, Watson N. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 32)
  • 00:53, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 06:42, King B. (Behind),
  • 09:05, Moore D. (Behind),
  • 12:24, Long B. (G),
  • 14:19, Clohesy S. (G),
  • 15:32, Flanders S. (G),
  • 21:26, Watson N. (G),
  • 22:35, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:02, Weddle J. (Behind),
  • 25:10, Anderson N. (G),
  • 30:56, Watson N. (G),
  • 32:30, Amon K. (G),
  • 34:54, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (14 - 31)
  • 00:22, Flanders S. (Behind),
  • 04:38, King B. (G),
  • 06:35, Ginnivan J. (Behind),
  • 09:51, Chol M. (G),
  • 13:13, Long B. (Behind),
  • 14:47, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 19:00, Newcombe J. (G),
  • 20:31, Ainsworth B. (G),
  • 25:09, Morrison H. (G),
  • 28:49, Hardwick B. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 21)
  • 02:31, Swallow D. (G),
  • 03:43, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 05:40, Worpel J. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Long B. (G),
  • 16:32, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 18:26, Chol M. (G),
  • 19:50, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 20:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:04, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 23:31, Ginnivan J. (G),
  • 24:45, Miller T. (G),
  • 27:46, Long B. (G),
  • 29:43, Chol M. (G),

Chances of winning


Gold Coast Suns
61.2%
Hawthorn Hawks
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gold Coast Suns's performance.
  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gold Coast Suns that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.89)

    2.39
    (1.93)
    7.4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hawthorn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gold Coast could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1193:1305. (average 70.2:76.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 632:421. (average 90.3:60.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:
    13.04.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 109:56
    25.06.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 101:34
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )