Kasidit Samrej vs Hayato Matsuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
65%68%
1st serve points won
54% (40/74)69% (48/70)
2nd serve points won
59% (23/39)36% (12/33)
Break Points Saved
7/133/8
1st return points won
31% (22/70)46% (34/74)
2nd return points won
64% (21/33)41% (16/39)
Break Points Converted
5/86/13
Winners
3629
Unforced errors
6344
Net points won
57% (13/23)33% (1/3)
Service Points Won
56% (63/113)58% (60/103)
Return Points Won
42% (43/103)44% (50/113)
Total Points Won
49% (106/216)51% (110/216)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
65% (11/17)71% (12/17)
Return games won
29% (5/17)35% (6/17)
Total games won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Kasidit Samrej
42.3%
Hayato Matsuoka
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 65.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kasidit Samrej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Hayato Matsuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kasidit Samrej that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hayato Matsuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kasidit Samrej - Hayato Matsuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.32)

    1.62
    (1.53)
    6.9%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Kasidit Samrej - Hayato Matsuoka?
  • Users Predictions: Kasidit Samrej will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samrej is ranked ATP: 421. Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 366.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Samrej may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samrej won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kasidit Samrej - Hayato Matsuoka were as follows:
    30.03.2026 Hayato Matsuoka - Kasidit Samrej 2:0
    Latest results of Kasidit Samrej
    Latest results of Hayato Matsuoka