Result
2:1
17/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 13
- Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (167/257) | 81% (432/536) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (167/257) | 81% (432/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (15/66) | 45% (37/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (41/94) | 71% (124/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 30% (9/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Estrada P. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Mudi ⚽, Larsen S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Larsen S. 🟨,
- 63', Jorgensen C. ↓, Alfaro J. ↑,
- 63', Saaby M. ↓, Lesniak F. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Gothler A. ⚽,
- 73', Olsen M. ↓, Njai A. ↑,
- 73', Morberg N. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
- 75', Larsen G. 🟨,
- 76', Mudi ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
- 76', Larsen G. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 83', Westergren M. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 84', Sommergaard N. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 1, Norager A. (Pen),
- 90+1', Vadstrup J. ↓, Nedic N. ↑,
- 90+1', Gothler A. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
21% | Draw
23.7% | Kolding IF
55.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Kolding IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolding IF than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
HB Køge - Kolding IF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.48 ↓
(5.22) |
3.94 ↓
(4.16) |
1.7 ↑
(1.57) |
6.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Kolding IF?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Køge will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kolding IF will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kolding IF is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Køge won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Kolding IF?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kolding IF won against HB Køge?
Kolding IF has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Kolding IF were as follows:
01.08.2025
Kolding IF
-
HB Køge
3:1
25.10.2024
HB Køge
-
Kolding IF
0:1
14.09.2024
Kolding IF
-
HB Køge
1:1
07.10.2023
Kolding IF
-
HB Køge
3:1
14.09.2023
HB Køge
-
Kolding IF
0:1
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Kolding IF
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Horsens | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | B.93 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Koge | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
