HB Køge vs Lyngby BK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 22
  • Referee: Funder S. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.310.86
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
94
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
34
Passes
72% (271/377)82% (455/557)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.310.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.98
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
85
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
86
Free kicks
1321
Passes
72% (271/377)82% (455/557)
Long passes
44% (38/87)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
60% (65/109)73% (138/189)
Crosses
25% (3/12)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.71
Throw ins
1918
Fouls
2113
Tackles
56% (5/9)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
2529
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.980.80
Goals prevented
-1.02-2.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Dani ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Westergren M. , Jakobsen N. (A),
  • 41', 2 - 1, Gothler A. , Jensen M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Salah M. , Sorensen V. ,
  • 49', Jakobsen M. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 2, Sorensen V. (Own goal),
  • 57', 3 - 2, Jensen Tue C. ,
  • 64', Thomasen J. , Hebo M. ,
  • 64', Sandgrav L. , Colyn S. ,
  • 64', Buur O. , Storm T. ,
  • 73', 3 - 3, Fischer M. ,
  • 74', Mudi , Thomsen T. ,
  • 75', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
  • 76', Thorvaldsson I. , Gytkjaer F. ,
  • 84', Jakobsen N. , Brodersen R. ,
  • 84', Gothler A. , Semovski E. ,
  • 86', Romer M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jensen Tue C. , Larsen G. ,
  • 90+8', Semovski E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HB Køge
17.4%
Draw
21.6%
Lyngby BK
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 21.7% 60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17% 21.1% 62.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Lyngby BK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • HB Køge - Lyngby BK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.29
    (5.3)
    4.33
    (4.27)
    1.53
    (1.52)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for HB Køge - Lyngby BK?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Lyngby (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lyngby BK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lyngby (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
    • Køge is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
    • Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0.
    • Køge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyngby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lyngby is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Køge won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:42. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.5:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Lyngby BK were as follows:
    31.01.2026 HB Køge - Lyngby BK 2:4
    21.09.2025 Lyngby BK - HB Køge 4:0
    26.09.2023 HB Køge - Lyngby BK 2:4
    Latest results of HB Køge
    13.03.2026 B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge 2:0
    06.03.2026 HB Køge - Esbjerg 0:1
    27.02.2026 Hobro - HB Køge 1:1
    06.02.2026 HB Køge - Roskilde Canceled
    31.01.2026 HB Køge - Lyngby BK 2:4
    Latest results of Lyngby BK
    13.03.2026 Lyngby BK - Middelfart 4:1
    09.03.2026 Horsens - Lyngby BK 1:3
    27.02.2026 Lyngby BK - Kolding IF 2:0
    20.02.2026 Hillerød - Lyngby BK 2:2
    Danish 1 Division Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby23126549:262342
    2Hvidovre IF231010335:241140
    3Hillerod23108534:30438
    4Esbjerg23115733:30338
    5Kolding IF2397730:24634
    6Horsens2396827:24333

          Promotion ~ Superliga