Result
3:3
21/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 22
- Referee: Funder S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (271/377) | 82% (455/557) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (271/377) | 82% (455/557) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (38/87) | 47% (24/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (65/109) | 73% (138/189) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -2.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Dani ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Westergren M. ⚽, Jakobsen N. (A),
- 41', 2 - 1, Gothler A. ⚽, Jensen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Salah M. ↓, Sorensen V. ↑,
- 49', Jakobsen M. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 2, Sorensen V. (Own goal),
- 57', 3 - 2, Jensen Tue C. ⚽,
- 64', Thomasen J. ↓, Hebo M. ↑,
- 64', Sandgrav L. ↓, Colyn S. ↑,
- 64', Buur O. ↓, Storm T. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 3, Fischer M. ⚽,
- 74', Mudi ↓, Thomsen T. ↑,
- 75', Thorvaldsson I. 🟨,
- 76', Thorvaldsson I. ↓, Gytkjaer F. ↑,
- 84', Jakobsen N. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
- 84', Gothler A. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
- 86', Romer M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
- 90+8', Semovski E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HB Køge 17.4% | Draw 21.6% | Lyngby BK 60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Lyngby BK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
HB Køge - Lyngby BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.29 ↓ (5.3) |
4.33 ↑ (4.27) |
1.53 ↑ (1.52) |
7.6% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Lyngby BK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Lyngby (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lyngby BK will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lyngby (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- Køge is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
- Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Køge won 0.
- Køge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyngby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyngby is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Køge won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:42. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.5:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Lyngby BK?
HB Køge has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyngby BK won against HB Køge?
Lyngby BK has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Lyngby BK were as follows:
31.01.2026
HB Køge
-
Lyngby BK
2:4
21.09.2025
Lyngby BK
-
HB Køge
4:0
26.09.2023
HB Køge
-
Lyngby BK
2:4
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Lyngby BK
Danish 1 Division Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 42 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 35:24 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:30 | 4 | 38 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 | Horsens | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Superliga