Lyngby BK vs HB Køge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Lyngby BK - HB Køge
Result
4:0
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 10
  • Referee: Andersen N. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.81
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
85% (477/559)81% (339/419)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.690.44
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2925
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
159
Passes
85% (477/559)81% (339/419)
Long passes
31% (15/49)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
80% (144/180)68% (69/102)
Crosses
33% (5/15)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.10
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
915
Tackles
67% (14/21)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
1616
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.442.69
Goals prevented
0.44-1.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Gytkjaer F. ,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Colyn S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Rasmussen M. , Jakobsen N. ,
  • 49', 3 - 0, Cornelius J. , Storm T. (A),
  • 58', 4 - 0, Dani , Mortensen G. (A),
  • 62', Cornelius J. , Thorvaldsson I. ,
  • 62', Langhoff P. , Sandgrav L. ,
  • 73', Alkhoudari B. , Gothler A. ,
  • 74', Gytkjaer F. , Blume B. ,
  • 74', Buur O. , Steindorsson W. ,
  • 81', Jensen Tue C. , Schmidt L. ,
  • 81', Fraulo G. , Kaarsbo M. ,
  • 89', Mudi , Villumsen E. ,
  • 89', Hald S. , Dorgu I. ,
  • 90+5', Kaarsbo M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lyngby BK
62.1%
Draw
21.1%
HB Køge
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 19.1% 11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 18.2% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyngby BK's form might have worsened.
  • HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HB Køge's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyngby BK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HB Køge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lyngby BK - HB Køge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.37)
    4.42
    (4.95)
    5.52
    (8.1)
    6.2%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyngby won 3.
    • In recent matches, Lyngby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Køge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Lyngby is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyngby won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lyngby won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lyngby BK - HB Køge were as follows:
    26.09.2023 HB Køge - Lyngby BK 2:4
    Latest results of Lyngby BK
    11.09.2025 Hobro - Lyngby BK 1:4
    30.08.2025 Middelfart - Lyngby BK 2:2
    23.08.2025 Lyngby BK - Horsens 0:0
    19.08.2025 Lyngby BK - Hillerød 1:2
    Latest results of HB Køge
    13.09.2025 HB Køge - Horsens 1:0
    01.09.2025 Esbjerg - HB Køge 3:2
    23.08.2025 Hillerød - HB Køge 3:1
    19.08.2025 HB Køge - B.93 Copenhagen 0:1
    16.08.2025 Middelfart - HB Køge 2:2
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hillerod1272320:16423
    2Lyngby1264224:131122
    3Hvidovre IF1255217:14320
    4Horsens1254313:9419
    5Kolding IF1253416:13318
    6Aalborg1252520:15517
    7B.931252515:19-417
    8Aarhus Fremad1244421:16516
    9Esbjerg1251614:17-316
    10Hobro1225513:21-811
    11Koge1231812:23-1110
    12Middelfart1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )