Result
1:2
29/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 18
- Referee: Iriskic F. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/476) | 77% (290/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (403/476) | 77% (290/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (33/67) | 33% (24/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (99/152) | 68% (63/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 86% (19/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Gothler A. ⚽, Rasmussen M. (A),
- 36', Bust L. 🟨,
- 44', Pedersen S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kakeeto R. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 46', Pedersen S. ↓, Barholt N. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Hansen M. ⚽, Akale A. (A),
- 63', 1 - 2, Hansen M. ⚽, Wielzen J. (A),
- 66', Salah M. ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
- 66', Larsen G. ↓, Mudi ↑,
- 75', Hansen M. ↓, Thomsen L. ↑,
- 78', Brodersen R. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
- 78', Gothler A. ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 78', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
- 84', Akale A. ↓, Boesen M. ↑,
- 85', Mudi 🟨,
- 90+1', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Sorensen M. ↑,
- 90+2', Wielzen J. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
- 90+5', Dorgu I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HB Køge
45.7% | Draw
26.5% | Middelfart
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HB Køge - Middelfart Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.3) |
3.55 ↑
(3.42) |
3.31 ↑
(2.82) |
6.5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for HB Køge - Middelfart?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
- In recent matches, Køge has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Middelfart has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Køge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Middelfart?
HB Køge has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middelfart won against HB Køge?
Middelfart has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HB Køge - Middelfart were as follows:
16.08.2025
Middelfart
-
HB Køge
2:2
05.07.2025
HB Køge
-
Middelfart
5:0
Latest results of HB Køge
Latest results of Middelfart
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby ✔ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37:20 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hillerod ✔ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
| 3 | Horsens | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 29 |
| 5 | Esbjerg | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | B.93 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Hobro | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 11 | Koge | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
