Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 5
- Referee: Stegemuller Fogh Simbold O. A. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (391/494) | 71% (254/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (391/494) | 71% (254/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (39/90) | 31% (22/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (132/186) | 51% (43/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Barholt N. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Wielzen J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 67', Rasmussen M. ↓, Alkhoudari B. ↑,
- 69', Wielzen J. 🟨,
- 72', Kakeeto R. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 72', Zjajo B. ↓, Bytyqi B. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Jakobsen N. ⚽, Jensen Tue C. (A),
- 75', 1 - 2, Alkhoudari B. ⚽, Jakobsen N. (A),
- 77', Bust L. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
- 77', Dorgu I. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 82', Barholt N. ↓, Pedersen S. ↑,
- 82', Vetter J. ↓, Boesen M. ↑,
- 84', Gothler A. 🟨,
- 84', Jakobsen N. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
- 85', Larsen G. ↓, Schmidt L. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Wielzen J. ⚽, Pedersen S. (A),
- 88', Villemoes J. ↓, Jorgensen L. ↑,
- 88', Larsen S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Middelfart
38.7% | Draw
28.8% | HB Køge
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)HB Køge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HB Køge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HB Køge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middelfart - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.58) |
3.27 ↓
(3.63) |
2.9 ↑
(2.39) |
6.1%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middelfart - HB Køge?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Køge (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
HB Køge will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Middelfart is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Køge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Køge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Middelfart has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Middelfart won against HB Køge?
Middelfart has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Middelfart?
HB Køge has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middelfart - HB Køge were as follows:
05.07.2025
HB Køge
-
Middelfart
5:0
Latest results of Middelfart
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Horsens | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Kolding IF | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Lyngby | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Hvidovre IF | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | B.93 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Hobro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Koge | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Aarhus Fremad | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
