Result
0:1
18/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 38
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (310/377) | 82% (361/439) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (310/377) | 82% (361/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (39/72) | 28% (13/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (80/112) | 68% (81/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Forrester A. 🟨,
- 22', Clark Z. ↓, Fulton R. ↑,
- 38', Dhanda Y. 🟥,
- 40', Donnelly L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Findlay S. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 59', Milne H. ↓, Halkett C. ↑,
- 65', Wales B. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 68', Nieuwenhof C. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 69', Shankland L. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
- 69', Forrest A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 70', Lyons B. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 71', Armstrong D. ↓, Burke C. ↑,
- 83', Vassell K. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Kingsley S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
38.7% | Draw
27.8% | Hearts
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kilmarnock's performance.Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kilmarnock that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kilmarnock - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.85) |
3.39 ↓
(3.4) |
2.79 ↑
(2.3) |
6.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Hearts?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kilmarnock (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kilmarnock will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Hearts has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Deas R.
(Red Card)
Magennis K.
(Injury)
Wright J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hearts: Denholm A.
(Injury)
Taylor Dosman G. G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Armstrong D.
(Injury)
Lyons B.
(Inactive)
McKenzie R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Pollock F.
(Injury)
Vargas K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Hearts?
Kilmarnock has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Kilmarnock?
Hearts has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Hearts were as follows:
25.01.2025
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
3:2
15.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
1:0
30.10.2024
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
1:2
27.04.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
0:0
30.03.2024
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
1:1
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dundee Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dundee FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Livingston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
