Result
0:3
18/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 8
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Hearts TV, Kilmarnock TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (246/349) | 80% (407/511) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (246/349) | 80% (407/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/69) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (57/104) | 77% (92/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 46% (12/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Halkett C. ⚽, Milne H. (A),
- 42', Devlin C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Stanger G. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Braga C. ⚽,
- 59', Polworth L. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 59', Stanger G. ↓, Williams Z. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 3, Braga C. ⚽, Kyziridis A. (A),
- 71', Halkett C. ↓, Steinwender M. ↑,
- 72', Kiltie G. ↓, Magennis K. ↑,
- 72', Brown J. ↓, Brandon J. ↑,
- 75', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
- 81', Dackers M. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
- 82', Deas R. 🟨,
- 86', Forrest A. 🟨,
- 87', Shankland L. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 87', Braga C. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
- 87', Milne H. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
17.5% | Draw
25.2% | Hearts
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kilmarnock - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.88 ↑
(4.36) |
3.94 ↑
(3.62) |
1.69 ↓
(1.78) |
1.8%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Hearts?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hearts will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 2.
- Kilmarnock has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hearts is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Hearts is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J.
(Groin Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Lowery T.
(Injury)
Watkins M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Hamstring Injury)
Fulton R.
(Groin Injury)
Kent F.
(Knee Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Borchgrevink C.
(Thigh Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Hearts?
Kilmarnock has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Kilmarnock?
Hearts has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Hearts were as follows:
18.05.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
0:1
25.01.2025
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
3:2
15.12.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
1:0
30.10.2024
Hearts
-
Kilmarnock
1:2
27.04.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hearts
0:0
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28:9 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Celtic | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Rangers | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | St. Mirren | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
