Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 0.40 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (312/399) | 70% (278/398) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.63 | 0.40 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.84 | 0.17 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
78% (312/399) | 70% (278/398) |
Long passes |
---|
29% (12/42) | 31% (23/74) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (80/114) | 39% (39/101) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (6/18) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.38 | 0.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (10/16) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.17 | 1.84 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.17 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sandler P. ↓, Marquez I. ↑,
- 46', Kersten S. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. (Pen),
- 60', Hansen S. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 60', Ouaissa S. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 64', Petrov H. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
- 74', Verdonk C. 🟨,
- 76', van Crooij V. 🟨,
- 80', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
- 80', Trenskow J. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
- 81', Sano K. ↓, Darelas A. ↑,
- 81', Lyratzis L. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 82', Proper D. 🟨,
- 84', Brouwers L. 🟨,
- 84', Onal B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Smans L. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen 46.6% | Draw 25.9% | NEC Nijmegen 27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.19) |
3.66 ↓ (3.7) |
3.46 ↑ (2.98) |
5.1% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Nijmegen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Heerenveen will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Kohlert M.
(Red Card)
Milovanovic M.
(Injury)
de Wijs J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Marquez I.
(Groin Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Lyratzis L.
(Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Injury)
Ouwejan T.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:28 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
19.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
3:0
10.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:0
07.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
06.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:3
04.09.2022
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie