Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen
Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 6
  • Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanU-NEXT
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.080.98
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
67% (205/307)81% (382/469)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.080.98
xG on target (xGOT)
2.831.26
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
67% (205/307)81% (382/469)
Long passes
29% (20/68)36% (22/61)
Passes in final third
55% (59/107)61% (69/114)
Crosses
50% (6/12)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.120.73
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1014
Tackles
64% (7/11)72% (13/18)
Duels won
4645
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.262.83
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Meerveld R. ,
  • 41', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 2 - 0, Vente D. , Trenskow J. (A),
  • 58', Misidjan V. , Onal B. ,
  • 58', Pereira B. , Ogawa K. ,
  • 58', van Crooij V. , Lebreton N. ,
  • 59', Proper D. , Nejasmic D. ,
  • 62', 3 - 0, Trenskow J. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Ogawa K. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 73', Rivera M. , van Axel Dongen A. ,
  • 74', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 77', Shiogai K. , El Kachati Y. ,
  • 82', Vente D. , Sejk V. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Ouaissa S. , Ogawa K. (A),
  • 89', Meerveld R. , Ahmed I. ,
  • 89', Trenskow J. , Egbring M. ,
  • 90+6', Chery T. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Heerenveen
39.2%
Draw
26.5%
NEC Nijmegen
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 27.3% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 28.3% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.59)
    3.64
    (3.48)
    2.79
    (2.63)
    4.3%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
    • Heerenveen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Petrov H. (Red Card) Smans L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Hopland N. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    19.10.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen 3:0
    10.03.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen 2:0
    07.10.2023 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:1
    06.05.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen 2:3
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    13.09.2025 Feyenoord - Heerenveen 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    16.08.2025 Groningen - Heerenveen 2:1
    09.08.2025 Heerenveen - Volendam 1:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord981025:61925
    2PSV971127:121522
    3AZ Alkmaar953119:12718
    4Ajax944117:12516
    5Groningen950414:13115
    6Nijmegen942325:17814
    7Twente942317:14314
    8Utrecht941418:11713
    9Sittard941413:13013
    10Sparta Rotterdam941413:22-913
    11Heerenveen933315:15012
    12G.A. Eagles924315:16-110
    13Excelsior93068:17-99
    14NAC Breda922510:16-68
    15Zwolle92259:17-88
    16Telstar921612:18-67
    17FC Volendam914410:16-67
    18Heracles91087:27-203

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie