Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 6
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (205/307) | 81% (382/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.08 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (205/307) | 81% (382/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (20/68) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (59/107) | 61% (69/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Meerveld R. ⚽,
- 41', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 0, Vente D. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
- 58', Misidjan V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 58', Pereira B. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 58', van Crooij V. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
- 59', Proper D. ↓, Nejasmic D. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
- 73', Rivera M. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
- 74', Sano K. 🟨,
- 77', Shiogai K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 82', Vente D. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Ogawa K. (A),
- 89', Meerveld R. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
- 89', Trenskow J. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 90+6', Chery T. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
39.2% | Draw
26.5% | NEC Nijmegen
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.59) |
3.64 ↑
(3.48) |
2.79 ↑
(2.63) |
4.3%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 50%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
- Heerenveen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Petrov H.
(Red Card)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Hopland N.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
27.04.2025
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
19.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
3:0
10.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:0
07.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
06.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:3
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
