Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 6
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Japan | U-NEXT |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.08 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
67% (205/307) | 81% (382/469) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.08 | 0.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.83 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
67% (205/307) | 81% (382/469) |
Long passes |
---|
29% (20/68) | 36% (22/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (59/107) | 61% (69/114) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (6/12) | 24% (4/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.12 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.26 | 2.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.74 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Meerveld R. ⚽,
- 41', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 2 - 0, Vente D. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
- 58', Misidjan V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 58', Pereira B. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 58', van Crooij V. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
- 59', Proper D. ↓, Nejasmic D. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
- 73', Rivera M. ↓, van Axel Dongen A. ↑,
- 74', Sano K. 🟨,
- 77', Shiogai K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 82', Vente D. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Ogawa K. (A),
- 89', Meerveld R. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
- 89', Trenskow J. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 90+6', Chery T. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen 39.2% | Draw 26.5% | NEC Nijmegen 34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.44 ↓ (2.59) |
3.64 ↑ (3.48) |
2.79 ↑ (2.63) |
4.3% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
- Heerenveen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Petrov H.
(Red Card)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Hopland N.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
27.04.2025
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
19.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
3:0
10.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:0
07.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
06.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:3
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
5 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Groningen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie