Result
2:2
22/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 28
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | Eurosport |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (354/441) | 71% (262/370) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 51 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (354/441) | 71% (262/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (20/54) | 46% (38/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (153/200) | 56% (59/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', Cillessen J. ↓, Janse R. ↑,
- 19', 1 - 0, Chery T. ⚽,
- 37', 1 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Meerveld R. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 2 - 2, Chery T. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 63', Willems J. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 63', Linssen B. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 66', Linday M. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 77', Willemsen M. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 77', Vente D. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
- 77', Kersten S. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 88', Lebreton N. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 89', Meerveld R. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
57.2% | Draw
21.2% | Heerenveen
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.84) |
4.48 ↑
(3.88) |
4.38 ↑
(3.5) |
5.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Crettaz G.
(Inactive)
Danilo Pereira
(Inactive)
Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Braude O.
(Yellow Cards)
Rivera M.
(Yellow Cards)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Dasa E.
(Inactive)
Ouaissa S.
(Injury)
Pereira B.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Heerenveen were as follows:
21.09.2025
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:2
27.04.2025
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:0
19.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
3:0
10.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:0
07.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
