Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (312/399) | 70% (278/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (312/399) | 70% (278/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 31% (23/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/114) | 39% (39/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sandler P. ↓, Marquez I. ↑,
- 46', Kersten S. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Nicolaescu I. (Pen),
- 60', Hansen S. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
- 60', Ouaissa S. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 64', Petrov H. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
- 74', Verdonk C. 🟨,
- 76', van Crooij V. 🟨,
- 80', Nicolaescu I. ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
- 80', Trenskow J. ↓, van Ee E. ↑,
- 81', Sano K. ↓, Darelas A. ↑,
- 81', Lyratzis L. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 82', Proper D. 🟨,
- 84', Brouwers L. 🟨,
- 84', Onal B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Smans L. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
46.6% | Draw
25.9% | NEC Nijmegen
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.19) |
3.66 ↓
(3.7) |
3.46 ↑
(2.98) |
5.1%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Nijmegen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Heerenveen will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Kohlert M.
(Red Card)
Milovanovic M.
(Injury)
de Wijs J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Marquez I.
(Groin Injury)
Ogawa K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Lyratzis L.
(Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Injury)
Ouwejan T.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Heerenveen won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:28 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heerenveen won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against NEC Nijmegen?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Heerenveen?
NEC Nijmegen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
19.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
3:0
10.03.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:0
07.10.2023
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
06.05.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Heerenveen
2:3
04.09.2022
Heerenveen
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
