PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 24
  • Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.271.28
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
2914
Shots on target
74
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
93
Passes
88% (545/618)76% (254/335)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
3.271.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.701.41
Total shots
2914
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
172
Blocked shots
58
Shots inside the box
187
Shots outside the box
117
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
5122
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free kicks
512
Passes
88% (545/618)76% (254/335)
Long passes
53% (24/45)39% (23/59)
Passes in final third
87% (234/270)63% (61/97)
Crosses
33% (9/27)71% (5/7)
Expected assists (xA)
3.211.43
Throw ins
1615
Fouls
125
Tackles
67% (14/21)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4453
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.411.70
Goals prevented
0.41-1.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽, Meerveld R. (A),
  • 29', Man D. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Perisic I. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Boadu M. ⚽, Wanner P. (A),
  • 63', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
  • 63', Oyen L. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
  • 67', Meerveld R. 🟨,
  • 70', Meerveld R. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
  • 75', Veerman J. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
  • 75', Boadu M. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
  • 80', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
  • 86', Man D. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
  • 86', Petrov H. ↓, Zagaritis V. ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽, Saibari I. (A),
  • 90+2', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
71.2%		Draw
16.4%		Heerenveen
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 17.6% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2% 16.6% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33 ↑
    (1.32)    		 5.73 ↑
    (5.3)    		 7.63 ↓
    (8.13)    		 6%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 43.1% – 81.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75, 1st Half - Heerenveen (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC, 1st Half - Heerenveen (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 2 - 50%). Heerenveen (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Heerenveen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, PSV is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in PSV: Kovar M. (Injury) Olij N. (Groin Injury) Pepi R. (Forearm injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Saibari I. (Rest) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Braude O. (Injury) Brouwers L. (Inactive) Vente D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 2.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen were as follows:
    04.02.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 4:1
    06.12.2025 Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    08.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 2:1
    14.12.2024 Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven 1:0
    25.04.2024 Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven 0:8
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    13.02.2026 Volendam - PSV Eindhoven 2:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺
    04.02.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 4:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Feyenoord 3:0 ✺
    28.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Bayern Munich 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    15.02.2026 Heerenveen - Zwolle 4:2 ✺
    11.02.2026 Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen 1:3 ✺
    07.02.2026 Twente - Heerenveen 5:0 ✺
    04.02.2026 PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen 4:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Heerenveen - Utrecht 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV28222478:374168
    2Feyenoord28165761:402153
    3Nijmegen28148669:472250
    4Ajax281212453:351848
    5Twente281211547:301747
    6AZ Alkmaar281261047:45242
    7Utrecht28118942:311141
    8Heerenveen28118949:46341
    9Sparta Rotterdam281251135:47-1241
    10Groningen281151240:37338
    11Sittard281051343:52-935
    12Zwolle28891138:53-1533
    13G.A. Eagles287111045:45032
    14Telstar28691338:46-827
    15FC Volendam28761530:48-1827
    16Excelsior28761529:47-1827
    17NAC Breda28581529:50-2123
    18Heracles28541933:70-3719

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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