Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.83 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (334/425) | 85% (443/519) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (334/425) | 85% (443/519) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 58% (34/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (70/107) | 68% (83/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -1.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Linday M. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 70', Santos A. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 72', Quintero T. 🟨,
- 74', Braude O. 🟨,
- 75', Sambo S. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
- 75', Mito S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 77', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
- 77', Linday M. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 0, Brouwers L. ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
- 89', Young M. 🟨,
- 90', Meerveld R. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 90+4', Klaverboer B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
47.3% | Draw
25% | Sparta Rotterdam
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.95) |
3.79 ↑
(3.55) |
3.43 ↑
(3.4) |
5.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 3 - 75%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Heerenveen has had a series of away games.
- Heerenveen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Hopland N.
(Inactive)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Sparta Rotterdam?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against Heerenveen?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Sparta Rotterdam were as follows:
14.12.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heerenveen
0:3
12.04.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heerenveen
3:1
26.10.2024
Heerenveen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:0
19.05.2024
Sparta Rotterdam
-
Heerenveen
2:1
27.08.2023
Heerenveen
-
Sparta Rotterdam
1:3
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
