Result
3:0
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (317/389) | 85% (420/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.16 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 0 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 24 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (317/389) | 85% (420/493) |
| Long passes |
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| 37% (18/49) | 71% (35/49) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 77% (82/107) | 75% (124/165) |
| Crosses |
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| 9% (1/11) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.36 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
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| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 62% (8/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 43 |
| Clearances |
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| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.01 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 1.01 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Nordas L. 🟨,
- 23', Thorisson N. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 0, Nordas L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Rivera M. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
- 62', Owusu T. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
- 62', Alders G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 65', Linday M. 🟨,
- 67', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
- 76', Tejan K. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
- 76', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 79', Koswal D. ↓, Oudsten R. ↑,
- 81', van Overeem J. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 81', Willemsen M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 81', Meerveld R. ↓, Courtens N. ↑,
- 85', Rivera M. 🟨,
- 90', Linday M. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,
- 90', Trenskow J. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 90+4', Braude O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
57.8% | Draw
21.4% | Telstar
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heerenveen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Heerenveen - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.5) |
4.42 ↑
(4.17) |
4.56 ↓
(5.5) |
5.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Telstar will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 21.7% – 78.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Telstar (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Heerenveen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Telstar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Heerenveen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Alders G.
(Head Injury)
Thorisson N.
(Injury)
- We predict that Heerenveen will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Telstar?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Heerenveen?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - Telstar were as follows:
19.10.2025
Telstar
-
Heerenveen
2:3
11.07.2025
Heerenveen
-
Telstar
1:1
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
