Result
2:3
19/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 9
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 2.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (246/330) | 80% (312/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 2.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 3.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (246/330) | 80% (312/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/71) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (64/113) | 71% (95/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 9% (2/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.53 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Koswal D. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Trenskow J. ⚽, Meerveld R. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Vente D. (Pen),
- 44', Willemsen M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Hardeveld J. ⚽, Offerhaus G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 3, Meerveld R. ⚽, Vente D. (A),
- 65', Mertens D. ↓, Nwankwo N. ↑,
- 65', Hetli S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 65', Tejan K. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
- 72', Linday M. 🟨,
- 79', Rivera M. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 81', Koswal D. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 3, Zonneveld M. ⚽,
- 86', Brouwer P. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
- 86', Meerveld R. ↓, Kersten S. ↑,
- 90+4', Trenskow J. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar
25.3% | Draw
26% | Heerenveen
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Telstar's form might have worsened.Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heerenveen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Telstar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heerenveen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Telstar - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↑
(2.66) |
3.94 ↑
(3.67) |
2.04 ↓
(2.5) |
-1.7%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Telstar - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heerenveen: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Heerenveen (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 2 - 40%). Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).
- Recent performances by Telstar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Heerenveen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Hopland N.
(Ankle Injury)
Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Bakker D.
(Inactive)
Owusu T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Heerenveen?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Telstar?
Heerenveen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Heerenveen were as follows:
11.07.2025
Heerenveen
-
Telstar
1:1
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
