Result
0:1
26/02/2023 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 22
- Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld 30.5% | Draw 29% | Heidenheim 40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.11 ↑ (2.84) |
3.25 ↓ (3.45) |
2.35 ↓ (2.38) |
5.5% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 14 (12.98%), has project points - 38, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (25.55%), has project points - 59, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (28%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
- This event has quality 35, importance 50, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
- Arminia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Heidenheim is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Heidenheim have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Heidenheim?
Arminia Bielefeld has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Heidenheim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim were as follows:
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Heidenheim
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 41:25 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 51:34 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | Hannover | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 50:34 | 16 | 50 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 47:53 | -6 | 40 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Bochum | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:41 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 27:45 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 46:55 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 40:61 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga