Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Heidenheim - Werder Bremen
Result
1:4
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 9
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 9, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 4, Viaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.18
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
87
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (426/497)84% (403/480)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.612.78
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
1011
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (426/497)84% (403/480)
Long passes
52% (22/42)52% (33/63)
Passes in final third
70% (71/102)72% (89/123)
Crosses
29% (6/21)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.18
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (8/13)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
2.782.61
Goals prevented
-1.221.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Schmid R. (Pen),
  • 33', 0 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
  • 39', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Schoppner J. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 46', Dorsch N. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
  • 46', Gimber B. ↓, Zivzivadze B. ↑,
  • 46', Beck A. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
  • 55', Stage J. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 3, Ducksch M. ⚽, Weiser M. (A),
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 72', Agu F. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
  • 72', Grull M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
  • 72', Stage J. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
  • 78', Honsak M. ↓, Fohrenbach J. ↑,
  • 80', 1 - 3, Kerber L. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
  • 83', Pieper A. 🟨,
  • 83', Scienza L. 🟨,
  • 84', Ducksch M. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
  • 85', Pieper A. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Topp K. ⚽, Njinmah J. (A),

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
40.1%		Draw
24.9%		Werder Bremen
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 25.9% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 26.4% 34.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.39 ↓
    (2.46)    		 3.85 ↑
    (3.7)    		 2.76 ↑
    (2.74)    		 4.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 11 - 50%). Werder will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 29.1% – 70.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3.
    • Recent performances by Heidenheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Werder: Burke O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Janes L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Kabore I. (Arm Injury) Veljkovic M. (Calf Injury) Zetterer M. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 3:3
    10.02.2024 Werder Bremen - Heidenheim 1:2
    17.09.2023 Heidenheim - Werder Bremen 4:2
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    10.05.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 0:3 ✺
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0 ✺
    25.04.2025 Stuttgart - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    10.05.2025 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 2:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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