Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Sports Focus |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/462) | 79% (308/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (383/462) | 79% (308/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (44/71) | 41% (28/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/160) | 71% (82/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Siersleben T. 🟨,
- 33', Kaufmann M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 34', Puertas C. 🟨,
- 45+2', Covic P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Grull M. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
- 63', Schoppner J. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
- 63', Mbangula S. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Schimmer S. ⚽, Busch M. (A),
- 68', Puertas C. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
- 68', Covic P. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Stage J. ⚽, Schmid R. (A),
- 79', Dorsch N. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
- 79', Beck A. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
- 79', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Pieringer M. ↑,
- 83', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Fohrenbach J. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
Chances of winning
Heidenheim
27.5% | Draw
28.4% | Werder Bremen
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Heidenheim - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(2.84) |
3.56 ↓
(3.63) |
2.26 ↓
(2.37) |
-1.8%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Werder Bremen?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Werder will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 44.4% – 79.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S.
(Knee Injury)
Feller F.
(Knee Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Ankle Injury)
Deman O.
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt I.
(Foot Injury)
Stark N.
(Hip Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Heidenheim: Pieringer M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Werder: Backhaus M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Malatini J.
(Ankle Injury)
Stage J.
(Chest Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 2.3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Werder Bremen?
Heidenheim has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Heidenheim?
Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Werder Bremen were as follows:
17.05.2025
Heidenheim
-
Werder Bremen
1:4
15.01.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Heidenheim
3:3
10.02.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Heidenheim
1:2
17.09.2023
Heidenheim
-
Werder Bremen
4:2
Latest results of Heidenheim
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
