Almere City vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.820.78
Ball possession
70%30%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
13
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
101
Passes
85% (495/582)67% (178/264)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
0.820.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.010.91
Total shots
157
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
265
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1612
Passes
85% (495/582)67% (178/264)
Long passes
49% (23/47)29% (22/77)
Passes in final third
75% (138/184)53% (33/62)
Crosses
24% (9/37)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.39
Throw ins
3018
Fouls
1216
Tackles
73% (8/11)69% (20/29)
Duels won
4348
Clearances
940
Interceptions
912
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
0.910.01
Goals prevented
-0.090.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Makanza N. ,
  • 17', de Nijs O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bijleveld T. , Takahashi N. ,
  • 46', de Nijs O. , Kalisvaart J. ,
  • 46', Cornelisse E. , Burgering B. ,
  • 47', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
  • 50', Makanza N. 🟨,
  • 60', Geerts D. , Daneels L. ,
  • 62', Sam A. 🟨,
  • 73', Van Den Eynden F. , Semic L. ,
  • 75', Sam A. , Jacobs Ja. ,
  • 75', Rijkhoff J. , Reith B. ,
  • 79', Absalem A. 🟨,
  • 82', Absalem A. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 82', Leipold A. , Zimuangana O. ,
  • 82', Lawrence J. , Providence R. ,
  • 88', Bajrami L. , Geerts J. ,

Chances of winning


Almere City
66.5%
Draw
18.6%
Helmond Sport
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 19.9% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 19.4% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Almere City - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.5)
    5.04
    (4.71)
    6.28
    (5.26)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Almere City - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 45%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Almere City (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Almere City is a strong favorite.
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    03.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Almere City 2:1
    17.02.2023 Almere City - Helmond Sport 0:0
    02.09.2022 Helmond Sport - Almere City 3:0
    Latest results of Almere City
    30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2
    14.01.2026 Almere City - Telstar 1:3
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    06.02.2026 Helmond Sport - Den Bosch 2:0
    03.02.2026 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 3:0
    26.01.2026 Jong PSV - Helmond Sport 4:0
    16.01.2026 Helmond Sport - Vitesse 2:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )