Almere City vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yanmar Stadion (Almere).

Eerste Divisie - Round 27
Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.82	0.78
Ball possession
70%	30%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
1	3
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
85% (495/582)	67% (178/264)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.82	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.01	0.91
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
1	3
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
9	4
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
26	5
Accurate through passes
2	2
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
16	12
Passes
85% (495/582)	67% (178/264)
Long passes
49% (23/47)	29% (22/77)
Passes in final third
75% (138/184)	53% (33/62)
Crosses
24% (9/37)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.39
Throw ins
30	18
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
73% (8/11)	69% (20/29)
Duels won
43	48
Clearances
9	40
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.91	0.01
Goals prevented
-0.09	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Makanza N. ⚽,
17', de Nijs O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bijleveld T. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
46', de Nijs O. ↓, Kalisvaart J. ↑,
46', Cornelisse E. ↓, Burgering B. ↑,
47', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
50', Makanza N. 🟨,
60', Geerts D. ↓, Daneels L. ↑,
62', Sam A. 🟨,
73', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
75', Sam A. ↓, Jacobs Ja. ↑,
75', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Reith B. ↑,
79', Absalem A. 🟨,
82', Absalem A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
82', Leipold A. ↓, Zimuangana O. ↑,
82', Lawrence J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
88', Bajrami L. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Almere City
66.5%

Draw
18.6%

Helmond Sport
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

19.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

19.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Almere City - Helmond Sport Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)	5.04 ↑ (4.71)	6.28 ↑ (5.26)	6.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Almere City - Helmond Sport?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Almere City (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Almere City is a strong favorite.
There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Helmond Sport?

Almere City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Almere City?

Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almere City - Helmond Sport were as follows:

03.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Almere City 2:1

17.02.2023 Almere City - Helmond Sport 0:0

02.09.2022 Helmond Sport - Almere City 3:0

Latest results of Almere City

02.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - Almere City 1:1 ✺

30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2 ✺

26.01.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 3:4 ✺

18.01.2026 Almere City - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Almere City - Telstar 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Helmond Sport

06.02.2026 Helmond Sport - Den Bosch 2:0 ✺

03.02.2026 Dordrecht - Helmond Sport 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Jong PSV - Helmond Sport 4:0 ✺

16.01.2026 Helmond Sport - Vitesse 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	36	27	2	7	82:35	47	83
2	Cambuur ✔	36	22	9	5	72:44	28	75
3	Willem II	36	18	8	10	54:41	13	62
4	De Graafschap	36	17	9	10	71:56	15	60
5	Almere City	36	17	4	15	73:59	14	55
6	Waalwijk	36	15	10	11	66:53	13	55
7	Roda	36	14	12	10	57:50	7	54
8	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
9	Den Bosch	35	14	8	13	61:61	0	50
10	Dordrecht	36	12	11	13	46:50	-4	47
11	Eindhoven FC	36	13	5	18	50:66	-16	44
12	Venlo	36	12	6	18	47:55	-8	42
13	FC Emmen	36	11	8	17	55:70	-15	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	36	9	10	17	41:71	-30	37
18	Helmond	36	9	9	18	40:61	-21	36
19	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie