Helmond Sport vs Almere City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Helmond Sport - Almere City
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
75% (275/366)79% (326/415)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.96
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
75% (275/366)79% (326/415)
Long passes
37% (30/82)49% (35/72)
Passes in final third
55% (52/94)54% (59/109)
Crosses
14% (2/14)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.300.70
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1116
Tackles
75% (15/20)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4841
Clearances
3222
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.961.39
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Bajrami L. , Poll T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Essakkati T. , Ingason H. ,
  • 61', Rijkhoff J. , Huisman B. ,
  • 61', Beaumont G. , el Dahri H. ,
  • 73', van der Zeeuw T. , Poku E. ,
  • 74', Reith B. , Sam A. ,
  • 75', Jacobs Jo. 🟨,
  • 79', Bajrami L. , Lukowicz M. ,
  • 83', Cornelisse E. , Providence R. ,
  • 83', Llonch P. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Huisman B. ,
  • 88', Leipold A. , Semic L. ,
  • 89', Lukowicz M. , Geerts J. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Semic L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
40.6%
Draw
27.9%
Almere City
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 26.9% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 26.1% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Helmond Sport - Almere City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.6)
    3.6
    (3.45)
    3.35
    (2.47)
    -1.6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Almere City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There are questionable in Almere City: Engel M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Almere City were as follows:
    17.02.2023 Almere City - Helmond Sport 0:0
    02.09.2022 Helmond Sport - Almere City 3:0
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    Latest results of Almere City
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag12111035:82734
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Willem II1363417:21-421
    7Den Bosch1362524:27-320
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1343615:21-615
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

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