Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 10
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/366) | 79% (326/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/366) | 79% (326/415) |
| Long passes |
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| 37% (30/82) | 49% (35/72) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 55% (52/94) | 54% (59/109) |
| Crosses |
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| 14% (2/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 32 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 13 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Bajrami L. ⚽, Poll T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 61', Essakkati T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
- 61', Rijkhoff J. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
- 61', Beaumont G. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 73', van der Zeeuw T. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 74', Reith B. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
- 75', Jacobs Jo. 🟨,
- 79', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
- 83', Cornelisse E. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
- 83', Llonch P. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Huisman B. ⚽,
- 88', Leipold A. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
- 89', Lukowicz M. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Semic L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport
40.6% | Draw
27.9% | Almere City
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almere City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmond Sport that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almere City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Helmond Sport - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.6) |
3.6 ↑
(3.45) |
3.35 ↑
(2.47) |
-1.6%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Almere City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Almere City (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Almere City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There are questionable in Almere City: Engel M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Almere City?
Helmond Sport has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Helmond Sport?
Almere City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Almere City were as follows:
17.02.2023
Almere City
-
Helmond Sport
0:0
02.09.2022
Helmond Sport
-
Almere City
3:0
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 25 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Roda | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Willem II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Helmond | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Venlo | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Maastricht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 13 | Oss | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Almere City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 9 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
