Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 76% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 63% (55/88) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 43% (12/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (33/88) | 35% (21/60) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 50% (22/44) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 58% (67/116) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (49/116) | 41% (43/104) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (110/220) | 50% (110/220) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 42% (13/31) | 58% (18/31) |
Chances of winning
Henrique Rocha
49.7% | Vilius Gaubas
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vilius Gaubas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.67) |
|
1.87 ↓
(2.03) |
6.2%
(9.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rocha (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Rocha is ranked ATP: 171. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 165.
- Now, both players are in good form.
- Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Henrique Rocha won against Vilius Gaubas?
Henrique Rocha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vilius Gaubas won against Henrique Rocha?
Vilius Gaubas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Henrique Rocha - Vilius Gaubas were as follows:
Latest results of Henrique Rocha
Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
