Heraclea vs Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', 0 - 1, Padilla I. ,

Chances of winning


Heraclea
44.1%
Draw
27.7%
Francavilla
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 27.3% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heraclea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Heraclea - Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.06)
    3.29
    (3.1)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    9.7%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).
    • Heraclea has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Francavilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Heraclea will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Heraclea
    09.11.2025 Sarnese - Heraclea 0:1
    02.11.2025 Heraclea - Fidelis Andria 1:1
    19.10.2025 Heraclea - Nardo 2:0
    12.10.2025 Acerrana - Heraclea 0:1
    Latest results of Francavilla
    09.11.2025 Francavilla - Nardo 1:1
    26.10.2025 Francavilla - Nola 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation