De Graafschap vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals
Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	1.03
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
8	12
Shots on Goal
1	2
Shots off Goal
4	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	9
Shots inside the Box
2	7
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
Free Kicks
16	9
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
9	16
Yellow Cards
2	3
Throw-ins
27	31
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	23
Passes
77% (307/397)	85% (356/419)
Passes in the final third
57% (56/98)	70% (73/105)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	25% (4/16)
Tackles
57% (12/21)	56% (10/18)
Clearances Total
33	40
Interceptions
10	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bruns T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brittijn P. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
56', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
64', Schoppema L. 🟨,
66', Talvitie J. ↓, Podgoreanu S. ↑,
66', Bruns T. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Podgoreanu S. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
68', Saarinen S. ↓, Fortes J. ↑,
68', van der Heide A. ↓, Mahi M. ↑,
71', Hornkamp J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
75', Seuntjens R. ↓, Hassan B. ↑,
82', Schoppema L. ↓, Willemsen M. ↑,
82', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
82', El Kadiri I. 🟨,
86', Engels M. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
86', Zamburek J. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
87', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycyan5d4

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
39.4%

Draw
25.3%

Heracles Almelo
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.5%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.4%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heracles Almelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.65)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)	2.63 ↑ (1.85)	7.4% (10.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Heracles will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
De Graafschap could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:25 (average 1.3:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Heracles Almelo?

De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against De Graafschap?

Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo were as follows:

07.04.2023 De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo 5:3

07.10.2022 Heracles Almelo - De Graafschap 3:2

Latest results of De Graafschap

04.01.2025 De Graafschap - HHC Hardenberg 5:3 ✺

22.12.2024 Volendam - De Graafschap 2:1 ✺

19.12.2024 De Graafschap - Sparta Nijkerk 4:0 ✺

13.12.2024 De Graafschap - Cambuur 0:2 ✺

09.12.2024 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

11.01.2025 Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Bochum - Heracles Almelo 1:0 ✺

18.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Feyenoord - Heracles Almelo 5:2 ✺

07.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 2:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/128-finals

1	NAC Breda	Bye
4	Bye	Heracles
5	Quick Boys	Bye
8	Bye	FC Volendam
9	Sparta Rotterdam	Bye
12	Bye	Groningen
13	SV Juliana	Meerssen	0 : 2
14	Gemert	Huizen	2 : 1
16	Bye	Sittard
17	Venlo	Bye
20	Bye	Heerenveen
21	Rijnsburgse Boys	Bye
24	Bye	Nijmegen
25	VVSB	Capelle	1 : 2
26	Scheveningen	Staphorst	2 : 0
28	Bye	Roda
29	Hoek	Rijnvogels	6 : 4
30	Blauw Geel	VVOG	2 : 1
32	Bye	Eindhoven FC
33	Katwijk	Bye
36	Bye	Vitesse
37	Heino	Groene Ster	3 : 4
38	IJsselmeervogels	Genemuiden	0 : 1
39	Halsteren	ACV Assen	3 : 1
40	AWC	ASWH	0 : 2
41	Harkemase Boys	Sparta Nijkerk	0 : 1
42	Kloetinge	DVO	3 : 0
44	Bye	Almere City
45	ADO 20 Heemskerk	Roosendaal	0 : 2
46	Bye	GVVV
48	Bye	De Graafschap
49	USV Hercules	GOES	4 : 0
50	Bye	Spakenburg
51	Erp	VV DOVO	0 : 4
52	TEC	SV Poortugaal	3 : 2
53	Den Bosch	Bye
56	Bye	Den Haag
57	Aalsmeer	HZVV Hoogeveen	2 : 4
58	Bye	Excelsior Maassluis
60	Bye	Excelsior
61	Raalte	HVV Hollandia	4 : 1
62	SteDoCo	DVS '33 Ermelo	0 : 2
64	Bye	Twente
65	Eemdijk	Dongen	4 : 0
66	Emmen	Excelsior 31	2 : 5
68	Bye	AFC
69	Walcheren	Noordwijk	1 : 3
70	Bye	Hardenberg
72	Bye	Oss
73	De Treffers	Bye
74	Bye	RKAV Volendam
76	Bye	Maastricht
77	Willem II	Bye
80	Bye	Dordrecht
81	De Foresters	VV Scherpenzeel	2 : 3
82	Hoogeveen	Velocitas	6 : 1
84	Bye	FC Emmen
85	Olde Veste	HSC '21	0 : 3
86	't Zand	Mierlo-Hout	4 : 2
87	HFC	Bye
88	UNA	ARC	1 : 2
89	TOGB	UDI'19	1 : 3
90	Sportlust	Sportclub 25	4 : 1
91	Kozakken Boys	Kampong	4 : 0
92	Bye	Barendrecht
93	Waalwijk	Bye
96	Bye	Cambuur
97	Lisse	Westlandia	1 : 0
98	VV Zwaluwen	Urk	1 : 2
100	Bye	Telstar
101	Helmond	Bye
104	Bye	Zwolle

1/64-finals

1	NAC Breda	Bye
2	Bye	Heracles
3	Quick Boys	Bye
4	Bye	FC Volendam
5	Sparta Rotterdam	Bye
6	Bye	Groningen
7	Meerssen	Gemert	0 : 1
8	Bye	Sittard
9	Venlo	Bye
10	Bye	Heerenveen
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	Bye
12	Bye	Nijmegen
13	Capelle	Scheveningen	5 : 1
14	Bye	Roda
15	Hoek	Blauw Geel	1 : 0
16	Bye	Eindhoven FC
17	Katwijk	Bye
18	Bye	Vitesse
19	Groene Ster	Genemuiden	1 : 2
20	Halsteren	ASWH	3 : 2
21	Sparta Nijkerk	Kloetinge	4 : 3
22	Bye	Almere City
23	Roosendaal	GVVV	0 : 1
24	Bye	De Graafschap
25	USV Hercules	Spakenburg	1 : 3
26	VV DOVO	TEC	1 : 0
27	Den Bosch	Bye
28	Bye	Den Haag
29	HZVV Hoogeveen	Excelsior Maassluis	1 : 5
30	Bye	Excelsior
31	Raalte	DVS '33 Ermelo	1 : 0
32	Bye	Twente
33	Eemdijk	Excelsior 31	2 : 1
34	Bye	AFC
35	Noordwijk	Hardenberg	0 : 2
36	Bye	Oss
37	De Treffers	RKAV Volendam	6 : 3
38	Bye	Maastricht
39	Willem II	Bye
40	Bye	Dordrecht
41	VV Scherpenzeel	Hoogeveen	3 : 4
42	Bye	FC Emmen
43	HSC '21	't Zand	3 : 1
44	HFC	ARC	5 : 0
45	UDI'19	Sportlust	0 : 1
46	Kozakken Boys	Barendrecht	2 : 3
47	Waalwijk	Bye
48	Bye	Cambuur
49	Lisse	Urk	4 : 1
50	Bye	Telstar
51	Helmond	Bye
52	Bye	Zwolle

1/32-finals

1	NAC Breda	Heracles
2	Quick Boys	FC Volendam
3	Sparta Rotterdam	Groningen
4	Gemert	Sittard
5	Venlo	Heerenveen
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	Nijmegen
7	Capelle	Roda
8	Hoek	Eindhoven FC
9	Katwijk	Vitesse
10	Genemuiden	Halsteren
11	Sparta Nijkerk	Almere City
12	GVVV	De Graafschap
13	Spakenburg	VV DOVO
14	Den Bosch	Den Haag
15	Excelsior Maassluis	Excelsior
16	Raalte	Twente
17	Eemdijk	AFC
18	Hardenberg	Oss
19	De Treffers	Maastricht
20	Willem II	Dordrecht
21	Hoogeveen	FC Emmen
22	HSC '21	HFC
23	Sportlust	Barendrecht
24	Waalwijk	Cambuur
25	Lisse	Telstar
26	Helmond	Zwolle