De Graafschap vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals
Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	1.03
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
8	12
Shots on Goal
1	2
Shots off Goal
4	6
Blocked Shots
3	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	9
Shots inside the Box
2	7
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
Free Kicks
16	9
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
9	16
Yellow Cards
2	3
Throw-ins
27	31
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	23
Passes
77% (307/397)	85% (356/419)
Passes in the final third
57% (56/98)	70% (73/105)
Crosses
11% (1/9)	25% (4/16)
Tackles
57% (12/21)	56% (10/18)
Clearances Total
33	40
Interceptions
10	14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bruns T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brittijn P. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
56', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
64', Schoppema L. 🟨,
66', Talvitie J. ↓, Podgoreanu S. ↑,
66', Bruns T. ↓, Bruijn J. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Podgoreanu S. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
68', Saarinen S. ↓, Fortes J. ↑,
68', van der Heide A. ↓, Mahi M. ↑,
71', Hornkamp J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
75', Seuntjens R. ↓, Hassan B. ↑,
82', Schoppema L. ↓, Willemsen M. ↑,
82', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
82', El Kadiri I. 🟨,
86', Engels M. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
86', Zamburek J. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
87', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycyan5d4

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
39.4%

Draw
25.3%

Heracles Almelo
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.5%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.4%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heracles Almelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.65)	3.68 ↑ (3.4)	2.63 ↑ (1.85)	7.4% (10.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Heracles will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1% – 83.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
De Graafschap could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:25 (average 1.3:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Heracles Almelo?

De Graafschap has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against De Graafschap?

Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo were as follows:

07.04.2023 De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo 5:3

07.10.2022 Heracles Almelo - De Graafschap 3:2

Latest results of De Graafschap

04.01.2025 De Graafschap - HHC Hardenberg 5:3 ✺

22.12.2024 Volendam - De Graafschap 2:1 ✺

19.12.2024 De Graafschap - Sparta Nijkerk 4:0 ✺

13.12.2024 De Graafschap - Cambuur 0:2 ✺

09.12.2024 Jong Ajax - De Graafschap 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

11.01.2025 Heracles Almelo - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Bochum - Heracles Almelo 1:0 ✺

18.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺

14.12.2024 Feyenoord - Heracles Almelo 5:2 ✺

07.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 2:2 ✺

Draw

2024/25

1/128-finals

1	De Graafschap	Bye
4	Bye	Oss
5	Sparta Nijkerk	Laar	6 : 0
6	Achilles Veen	Harkemase Boys	2 : 1
7	HV & CV Quick	UNA	4 : 1
8	Capelle	HSC '21	3 : 1
9	Gemert	Excelsior 31	4 : 0
10	Winterswijk	Blauw Wit	2 : 0
12	Bye	Heracles
13	Nijmegen	Bye
16	Bye	Zwolle
17	Waalwijk	Bye
20	Bye	Vitesse
21	Den Haag	Bye
24	Bye	Cambuur
25	AFC	Bye
26	Bye	GVVV
27	RKAV Volendam	Bye
28	Heerjansdam	Blauw Geel	1 : 4
29	SV Juliana	Geldrop	4 : 2
30	Smitshoek	Lisse	1 : 2
32	Bye	Utrecht
33	AZ Alkmaar	Bye
37	DEM	Ajax (Am)	1 : 2
38	HBC	Kolping Boys	3 : 4
40	Bye	Groningen
41	Ajax	Bye
45	Telstar	Bye
48	Bye	Helmond
49	Quick Boys	Bye
52	Bye	Almere City
53	De Treffers	Bye
56	Bye	Sittard
57	Kozakken Boys	VVSB	1 : 2
58	Kloetinge	KVV Quick 20	1 : 2
59	ASWH	SVBO	3 : 1
60	Bye	Hardenberg
61	ACV Assen	Bye
62	SteDoCo	IJsselmeervogels	2 : 3
64	Bye	Heerenveen
65	PSV	Bye
69	SV Poortugaal	ONS Sneek	3 : 1
70	Bye	HFC
72	Bye	FC Emmen
73	EVV	RKVV Zwaluw	0 : 1
74	Rijnvogels	Forum Sport	2 : 0
76	Bye	Eindhoven FC
77	Excelsior	Bye
80	Bye	Venlo
81	Rijnsburgse Boys	Bye
82	Raalte	Sportlust	0 : 4
84	Bye	Roda
85	FC 's-Gravenzande	RKAVV Leidschendam	0 : 2
86	VV DOVO	Scheveningen	2 : 1
88	Bye	FC Volendam
89	Maastricht	Bye
92	Bye	Den Bosch
96	Bye	Feyenoord
97	GOES	USV Hercules	2 : 4
98	Huizen	Excelsior Maassluis	1 : 2
100	Bye	Sparta Rotterdam
104	Bye	G.A. Eagles
105	Spakenburg	Bye
108	Bye	Katwijk
112	Bye	Twente
113	TOGB	Noordwijk	0 : 4
114	Hoek	Putten	2 : 1
116	Bye	Dordrecht
117	Meerssen	Genemuiden	0 : 1
118	ADO 20 Heemskerk	Schaijk	2 : 0
120	Bye	Willem II
121	HVV Hollandia	UDI'19	0 : 1
122	De Bilt	Eemdijk	2 : 4
123	DVS '33 Ermelo	Rosmalen	1 : 2
124	Elinkwijk	Olde Veste	1 : 2
125	Barendrecht	Bye
126	TEC	Urk	4 : 2
128	Bye	NAC Breda

1/64-finals

1	De Graafschap	Bye
2	Bye	Oss
3	Sparta Nijkerk	Achilles Veen	4 : 2
4	HV & CV Quick	Capelle	0 : 3
5	Gemert	Winterswijk	0 : 2
6	Bye	Heracles
7	Nijmegen	Bye
8	Bye	Zwolle
9	Waalwijk	Bye
10	Bye	Vitesse
11	Den Haag	Bye
12	Bye	Cambuur
13	AFC	GVVV	3 : 0
14	RKAV Volendam	Blauw Geel	2 : 3
15	SV Juliana	Lisse	1 : 2
16	Bye	Utrecht
17	AZ Alkmaar	Bye
19	Ajax (Am)	Kolping Boys	1 : 2
20	Bye	Groningen
21	Ajax	Bye
23	Telstar	Bye
24	Bye	Helmond
25	Quick Boys	Bye
26	Bye	Almere City
27	De Treffers	Bye
28	Bye	Sittard
29	VVSB	KVV Quick 20	1 : 2
30	ASWH	Hardenberg	1 : 0
31	ACV Assen	IJsselmeervogels	2 : 5
32	Bye	Heerenveen
33	PSV	Bye
35	SV Poortugaal	HFC	1 : 3
36	Bye	FC Emmen
37	RKVV Zwaluw	Rijnvogels	1 : 4
38	Bye	Eindhoven FC
39	Excelsior	Bye
40	Bye	Venlo
41	Rijnsburgse Boys	Sportlust	1 : 0
42	Bye	Roda
43	RKAVV Leidschendam	VV DOVO	0 : 1
44	Bye	FC Volendam
45	Maastricht	Bye
46	Bye	Den Bosch
48	Bye	Feyenoord
49	USV Hercules	Excelsior Maassluis	3 : 2
50	Bye	Sparta Rotterdam
52	Bye	G.A. Eagles
53	Spakenburg	Bye
54	Bye	Katwijk
56	Bye	Twente
57	Noordwijk	Hoek	2 : 0
58	Bye	Dordrecht
59	Genemuiden	ADO 20 Heemskerk	1 : 0
60	Bye	Willem II
61	UDI'19	Eemdijk	1 : 2
62	Rosmalen	Olde Veste	2 : 1
63	Barendrecht	TEC	4 : 0
64	Bye	NAC Breda

1/32-finals

1	De Graafschap	Oss	4 : 1
2	Sparta Nijkerk	Capelle	5 : 1
3	Winterswijk	Heracles	0 : 1
4	Nijmegen	Zwolle	4 : 3
5	Waalwijk	Vitesse	3 : 1
6	Den Haag	Cambuur	1 : 4
7	AFC	Blauw Geel	3 : 1
8	Lisse	Utrecht	1 : 2
9	AZ Alkmaar	Bye
10	Kolping Boys	Groningen	1 : 5
11	Ajax	Bye
12	Telstar	Helmond	3 : 0
13	Quick Boys	Almere City	3 : 0
14	De Treffers	Sittard	1 : 4
15	KVV Quick 20	ASWH	0 : 2
16	IJsselmeervogels	Heerenveen	2 : 3
17	PSV	Bye
18	HFC	FC Emmen	1 : 0
19	Rijnvogels	Eindhoven FC	0 : 7
20	Excelsior	Venlo	2 : 1
21	Rijnsburgse Boys	Roda	3 : 1
22	VV DOVO	FC Volendam	1 : 5
23	Maastricht	Den Bosch	2 : 1
24	Bye	Feyenoord
25	USV Hercules	Sparta Rotterdam	1 : 6
26	Bye	G.A. Eagles
27	Spakenburg	Katwijk	2 : 4
28	Bye	Twente
29	Noordwijk	Dordrecht	2 : 1
30	Genemuiden	Willem II	2 : 3
31	Eemdijk	Rosmalen	2 : 1
32	Barendrecht	NAC Breda	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	De Graafschap	Sparta Nijkerk	4 : 0
2	Heracles	Nijmegen	1 : 0
3	Waalwijk	Cambuur	4 : 1
4	AFC	Utrecht	0 : 8
5	AZ Alkmaar	Groningen	3 : 1
6	Ajax	Telstar	2 : 0
7	Quick Boys	Sittard	3 : 1
8	ASWH	Heerenveen	0 : 1
9	PSV	HFC	8 : 0
10	Eindhoven FC	Excelsior	1 : 3
11	Rijnsburgse Boys	FC Volendam	2 : 0
12	Maastricht	Feyenoord	1 : 2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	G.A. Eagles	1 : 2
14	Katwijk	Twente	2 : 3
15	Noordwijk	Willem II	2 : 1
16	Eemdijk	Barendrecht	1 : 6

1/8-finals

1	De Graafschap	Heracles	0 : 2
2	Waalwijk	Utrecht	1 : 2
3	AZ Alkmaar	Ajax	2 : 0
4	Quick Boys	Heerenveen	3 : 2
5	PSV	Excelsior	5 : 4
6	Rijnsburgse Boys	Feyenoord	1 : 4
7	G.A. Eagles	Twente	3 : 1
8	Noordwijk	Barendrecht	1 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Heracles	Utrecht	2 : 0
2	AZ Alkmaar	Quick Boys	3 : 1
3	PSV	Feyenoord	2 : 0
4	G.A. Eagles	Noordwijk	3 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Heracles	AZ Alkmaar	2 : 3
2	PSV	G.A. Eagles	1 : 2

Final

1

AZ Alkmaar

G.A. Eagles

1 : 2