De Graafschap vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch KNVB Beker De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo
Result
0:2
16/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.03
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
12
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
29
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
01
Free Kicks
169
Offsides
01
Fouls
916
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2731
Touches in the Opposition Box
1723
Passes
77% (307/397)85% (356/419)
Passes in the final third
57% (56/98)70% (73/105)
Crosses
11% (1/9)25% (4/16)
Tackles
57% (12/21)56% (10/18)
Clearances Total
3340
Interceptions
1014

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Bruns T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Brittijn P. , van Gilst T. ,
  • 56', Hornkamp J. 🟨,
  • 64', Schoppema L. 🟨,
  • 66', Talvitie J. , Podgoreanu S. ,
  • 66', Bruns T. , Bruijn J. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Podgoreanu S. , Engels M. (A),
  • 68', Saarinen S. , Fortes J. ,
  • 68', van der Heide A. , Mahi M. ,
  • 71', Hornkamp J. , Limbombe B. ,
  • 75', Seuntjens R. , Hassan B. ,
  • 82', Schoppema L. , Willemsen M. ,
  • 82', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
  • 82', El Kadiri I. 🟨,
  • 86', Engels M. , van Oorschot D. ,
  • 86', Zamburek J. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 87', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ycyan5d4

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
39.4%
Draw
25.3%
Heracles Almelo
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 26.5% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 25.4% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.
  • Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heracles Almelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (3.65)
    3.68
    (3.4)
    2.63
    (1.85)
    7.4%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Heracles will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • De Graafschap could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:25 (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    07.04.2023 De Graafschap - Heracles Almelo 5:3
    07.10.2022 Heracles Almelo - De Graafschap 3:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    2WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    3VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    4GemertHuizen2 : 1
    5ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    6AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    7VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    8De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    9ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    10EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    11AWCASWH0 : 2
    12UNAARC1 : 2
    13USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    14HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    15SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    16TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    17Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    18Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    19SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    20't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    21SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    22Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    23Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    24ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    25LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    26KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    27HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    28HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    29RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    30IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    31EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    32HoekRijnvogels6 : 4