Result
1:2
08/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 12
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (228/322) | 75% (286/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (228/322) | 75% (286/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 49% (34/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (59/117) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Naujoks N. ⚽, Yegoian I. (A),
- 15', Bronkhorst I. ↓, Henderikx S. ↑,
- 40', Widell C. 🟨,
- 44', Mesik I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 59', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 60', Limbombe B. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Ould Chikh W. ⚽, Hornkamp J. (A),
- 64', Wlodarczyk S. (Pen),
- 66', Wlodarczyk S. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
- 66', Naujoks N. ↓, Middendorp S. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Kulenovic L. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
- 81', te Wierik M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 81', Ould Chikh W. ↓, van der Kust D. ↑,
- 84', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Yoon D. ↑,
- 84', Martens N. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 90+2', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Excelsior
49.8% | Draw
24% | Heracles Almelo
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Excelsior - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.01) |
3.93 ↑
(3.85) |
3.58 ↑
(3.29) |
5.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Excelsior - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Heracles will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Excelsior (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 2.
- Excelsior has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Heracles has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Excelsior has had a series of away games.
- Excelsior could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Excelsior: Janssen S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
van Gilst T.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Hartjes L.
(Knee Injury)
Middendorp S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Benita M.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Heracles Almelo?
Excelsior has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Excelsior?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Excelsior - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
26.07.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Excelsior
1:2
12.05.2024
Excelsior
-
Heracles Almelo
4:0
02.09.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Excelsior
3:1
28.07.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Excelsior
2:1
Latest results of Excelsior
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
