Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 6
- Referee: Higler D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/507) | 76% (232/305) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (432/507) | 76% (232/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 43% (26/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (121/159) | 54% (52/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Borges Sanches Y. ⚽,
- 45', Hillen R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benita M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Kemper B. ⚽,
- 62', Limbombe B. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 62', Bruns T. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
- 63', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 68', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 69', Greiml L. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
- 81', Talvitie J. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
- 81', Lucassen B. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. ⚽, Kemper B. (A),
- 87', Benita M. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 87', Mirani D. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
- 88', Nassoh M. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
Chances of winning
NAC Breda
44.6% | Draw
27.7% | Heracles Almelo
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+2%)
NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.21) |
3.59 ↑
(3.43) |
3.53 ↑
(3.18) |
-0.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
NAC Breda will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NAC Breda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 0.
- Breda is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Heracles has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Breda might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Breda: Soumano M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Heracles Almelo?
NAC Breda has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against NAC Breda?
Heracles Almelo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
31.01.2025
NAC Breda
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
02.11.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
NAC Breda
2:0
12.05.2023
NAC Breda
-
Heracles Almelo
0:3
11.11.2022
Heracles Almelo
-
NAC Breda
5:1
Latest results of NAC Breda
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Twente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
