Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Blank E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 3.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (249/324) | 87% (473/542) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 3.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 53 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (249/324) | 87% (473/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (36/57) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/114) | 78% (135/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Perisic I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 12', 0 - 2, Saibari I. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 3, Man D. ⚽, Veerman J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Obispo A. ↓, Gasiorowski Y. ↑,
- 46', Boadu M. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
- 62', Wanner P. 🟨,
- 62', Bozinovski R. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 62', Hrustic A. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
- 63', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
- 64', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
- 72', Mauro Junior ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
- 73', Zamburek J. ↓, Scheperman S. ↑,
- 73', Unuvar N. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Zeefuik L. ⚽, Ahlstrand E. (A),
- 84', Saibari I. ↓, Flamingo R. ↑,
- 85', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 90', Benita M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
11.4% | Draw
15.2% | PSV Eindhoven
73.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.38 ↓
(8.73) |
6.24 ↑
(5.68) |
1.3 ↑
(1.27) |
5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 10%). PSV will win (votes: 18 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 76.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +2 - PSV (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - PSV (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): PSV Eindhoven will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. PSV (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 0.
- Recent form of Heracles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- PSV is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, PSV is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 16:52. (average 0.8:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:26. (average 0.8:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against PSV Eindhoven?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against Heracles Almelo?
PSV Eindhoven has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
13.12.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
Heracles Almelo
4:3
14.05.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
Heracles Almelo
4:1
18.08.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:3
16.02.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
Heracles Almelo
2:0
07.01.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
Heracles Almelo
1:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
