Twente vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
kenyaKenyaGotv
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.60
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
83% (418/506)79% (275/349)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.08
Total shots
217
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
122
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
85
Passes
83% (418/506)79% (275/349)
Long passes
43% (22/51)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
75% (134/179)73% (64/88)
Crosses
24% (4/17)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.55
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
58
Tackles
50% (9/18)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
2143
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.081.89
Goals prevented
0.08-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Propper R. , Nijstad R. ,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Mesik I. , Hrustic A. (A),
  • 45+4', Mesik I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Benita M. , Wieckhoff J. ,
  • 46', Hrustic A. 🟨,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Bruns M. , Zerrouki R. (A),
  • 61', Rots D. , Pjaca M. ,
  • 78', van Gilst T. , Ould Chikh W. ,
  • 78', Limbombe B. , Engels M. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, van den Belt T. , Orjasaeter S. (A),
  • 86', Hlynsson K. , Booth T. ,
  • 86', van den Belt T. , Verschueren A. ,
  • 86', van Rooij B. 🟥,
  • 87', Borges Sanches Y. , Kulenovic L. ,
  • 90+2', van Wolfswinkel R. , Kuipers B. ,
  • 90+3', Zamburek J. , te Wierik M. ,

Chances of winning


Twente
71.8%
Draw
17.3%
Heracles Almelo
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18.7% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7% 17.6% 11.3%

Twente - Heracles Almelo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.33
(1.37)
5.46
(5.08)
8.77
(7.9)
4.7%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Twente - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
    • Twente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Heracles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Twente is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Inactive) Kjolo M. (Knee Injury) Lemkin S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Scheperman S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:1
    27.10.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 5:0
    31.03.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 1:0
    22.10.2023 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:2
    Latest results of Twente
    26.09.2025 Twente - Fortuna Sittard 3:2
    19.09.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Twente 1:5
    13.09.2025 Twente - NAC Breda 2:2
    30.08.2025 Excelsior - Twente 1:0
    24.08.2025 Heerenveen - Twente 1:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV16141150:203043
    2Feyenoord16111441:202134
    3Ajax1685330:201029
    4Nijmegen1684441:271428
    5Groningen1682624:21326
    6AZ Alkmaar1574428:24425
    7Twente1666425:20524
    8Utrecht1665527:21623
    9Heerenveen1655626:26020
    10Sparta Rotterdam1662817:31-1420
    11Zwolle1654720:36-1619
    12G.A. Eagles1646625:28-318
    13Sittard1653821:26-518
    14Excelsior1551914:26-1216
    15FC Volendam1635819:30-1114
    16Heracles16421026:41-1514
    17NAC Breda1634916:25-913
    18Telstar1626819:27-812

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie