Result
0:2
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 19
- Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/378) | 78% (322/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/378) | 78% (322/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (75/107) | 66% (74/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', van den Belt T. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽,
- 37', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 2, van Wolfswinkel R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 58', Zerrouki R. 🟥,
- 60', Zamburek J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 60', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 65', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 66', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 67', Lemkin S. 🟨,
- 68', Van Hoorenbeeck A. 🟨,
- 69', van Rooij B. 🟨,
- 70', Mirani D. ↓, van Gilst T. ↑,
- 85', van Wolfswinkel R. 🟨,
- 86', Ahlstrand E. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
- 90', van den Belt T. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
15.3% | Draw
21.1% | Twente
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Heracles Almelo - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.16 ↑
(4.77) |
4.41 ↑
(3.96) |
1.48 ↓
(1.66) |
6.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Twente?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Twente will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 60.6% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Heracles (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Heracles (2.05) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Twente will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Twente (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
- Heracles has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Twente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Twente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Injury)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Booth T.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Milani L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Twente?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Heracles Almelo?
Twente has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Twente were as follows:
05.10.2025
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
2:1
30.03.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Twente
2:1
27.10.2024
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
5:0
31.03.2024
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
22.10.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Twente
2:2
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
