Heracles Almelo vs Twente: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Asito Stadium (Almelo).

: Eredivisie - Round 27
Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.80	0.64
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
7	13
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
72% (212/293)	78% (308/394)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	1.02
Total shots
7	13
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
14	34
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
13	15
Passes
72% (212/293)	78% (308/394)
Long passes
42% (22/52)	48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
60% (59/98)	66% (93/141)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	1.51
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
69% (9/13)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
56	49
Clearances Total
35	26
Interceptions
9	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.02	1.46
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽,
22', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
27', Scheperman S. 🟨,
30', Mesik I. 🟨,
30', Bruns T. 🟨,
40', Mirani D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lagerbielke G. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
63', Unuvar N. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
63', Kuipers B. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
65', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
71', Verschueren A. 🟨,
74', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
74', Verschueren A. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
75', Rots D. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Podgoreanu S. (A),
78', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
78', Bruns T. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
88', Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Ltaief S. ⚽, Steijn S. (A),
90+3', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Heracles Almelo
23.4%

Draw
26.1%

Twente
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.2%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Heracles Almelo - Twente Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.91)	3.62 ↓ (3.9)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	5.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Twente?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Twente will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 42% – 87.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 0.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
In this match Twente is a favorite.
There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Kulenovic L. (Injury) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Milani L. (Injury) Rots M. (Injury)
There will not play in Twente: Alders G. (Knee Injury) van Wolfswinkel R. (Toe Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:37 (average 0.9:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Twente?

Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Heracles Almelo?

Twente has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Twente were as follows:

27.10.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 5:0

31.03.2024 Twente - Heracles Almelo 1:0

22.10.2023 Heracles Almelo - Twente 2:2

Latest results of Heracles Almelo

20.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Heerenveen - Heracles Almelo 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Heracles Almelo 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 4:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Heracles Almelo - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Twente

16.03.2025 Twente - Feyenoord 0:3 ✺

09.03.2025 Twente - Almere City 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Twente - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺

20.02.2025 Bodø Glimt - Twente 5:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

Which TV channels are streaming of Heracles Almelo - Twente?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Canada	Sportsnet+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Turkey	Exxen
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Triller TV+