Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 8
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (418/506) | 79% (275/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (418/506) | 79% (275/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (134/179) | 73% (64/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Propper R. ↓, Nijstad R. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 1, Mesik I. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
- 45+4', Mesik I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benita M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 46', Hrustic A. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Bruns M. ⚽, Zerrouki R. (A),
- 61', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
- 78', van Gilst T. ↓, Ould Chikh W. ↑,
- 78', Limbombe B. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, van den Belt T. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
- 86', Hlynsson K. ↓, Booth T. ↑,
- 86', van den Belt T. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 86', van Rooij B. 🟥,
- 87', Borges Sanches Y. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 90+2', van Wolfswinkel R. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 90+3', Zamburek J. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Twente
71.8% | Draw
17.3% | Heracles Almelo
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Twente - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.37) |
5.46 ↑
(5.08) |
8.77 ↑
(7.9) |
4.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Twente - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 2.
- Twente is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Heracles has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Twente is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Inactive)
Kjolo M.
(Knee Injury)
Lemkin S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Scheperman S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:19. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:6. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Heracles Almelo?
Twente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Twente?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
30.03.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Twente
2:1
27.10.2024
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
5:0
31.03.2024
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
22.10.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Twente
2:2
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
