Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 27
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | SportKlub 7 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (212/293) | 78% (308/394) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (212/293) | 78% (308/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/98) | 66% (93/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.51 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽,
- 22', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 27', Scheperman S. 🟨,
- 30', Mesik I. 🟨,
- 30', Bruns T. 🟨,
- 40', Mirani D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lagerbielke G. ↓, Bruns M. ↑,
- 63', Unuvar N. ↓, Taha Y. ↑,
- 63', Kuipers B. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
- 65', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 71', Verschueren A. 🟨,
- 74', Wieckhoff J. 🟨,
- 74', Verschueren A. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
- 75', Rots D. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 0, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Podgoreanu S. (A),
- 78', Hornkamp J. ↓, Kulenovic L. ↑,
- 78', Bruns T. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 88', Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Ltaief S. ⚽, Steijn S. (A),
- 90+3', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
23.4% | Draw
26.1% | Twente
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Heracles Almelo - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↑
(3.91) |
3.62 ↓
(3.9) |
1.88 ↑
(1.83) |
5.4%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Twente?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Twente will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 42% – 87.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Twente is a favorite.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Kulenovic L.
(Injury)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
Milani L.
(Injury)
Rots M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Alders G.
(Knee Injury)
van Wolfswinkel R.
(Toe Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 18:37 (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Twente?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against Heracles Almelo?
Twente has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Twente were as follows:
27.10.2024
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
5:0
31.03.2024
Twente
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
22.10.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Twente
2:2
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Nijmegen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Zwolle | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Telstar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Twente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Heerenveen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Heracles | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:14 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
