Result
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo 27.9% | Draw 27.3% | Utrecht 44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)The chances for Utrecht have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Heracles Almelo - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↓ (3.35) |
3.4 (3.4) |
2.11 ↑ (2.08) |
6.8% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
- Heracles is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Utrecht has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Utrecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Utrecht?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Heracles Almelo?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Utrecht were as follows:
10.08.2025
Utrecht
-
Heracles Almelo
4:0
04.02.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Utrecht
2:0
24.01.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Utrecht
1:1
08.11.2024
Utrecht
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
23.02.2024
Utrecht
-
Heracles Almelo
1:0
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie