Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
El-salvador | Canal 4, TCS GO |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hércules 30.6% | Draw 29% | Fuerte San Francisco 40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuerte San Francisco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.41) |
3.18 ↓ (3.26) |
2.28 ↓ (2.56) |
8.6% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fuerte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Hércules won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Fuerte San Francisco?
Hércules has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fuerte San Francisco won against Hércules?
Fuerte San Francisco has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Fuerte San Francisco were as follows:
18.01.2026
Fuerte San Francisco
-
Hércules
1:1
22.10.2025
Hércules
-
Fuerte San Francisco
0:3
Latest results of Hércules
Latest results of Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FAS ✔ | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 42:13 | 29 | 45 |
| 2 | Luis Angel Firpo ✔ | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Municipal Limeno ✔ | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 31 |
| 4 | Alianza FC ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Aguila ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:22 | 2 | 30 |
| 6 | Inter F.A ✔ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Metapan | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 | Cacahuatique | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Platense Municipal | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Hercules | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19:39 | -20 | 11 |
| 11 | Fuerte San Francisco | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 14:31 | -17 | 10 |
| 12 | Zacatecoluca | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15:34 | -19 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
FAS is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Luis Angel Firpo is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Municipal Limeno is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Alianza FC is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Aguila is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
Inter F.A is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )