Hertha Berlin vs Arminia Bielefeld – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
1:1
19/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.76
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
74% (312/423)65% (202/309)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.650.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.54
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
74% (312/423)65% (202/309)
Long passes
46% (33/71)32% (21/66)
Passes in final third
54% (47/87)51% (63/123)
Crosses
7% (1/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.80
Throw-ins
2529
Fouls
1216
Tackles
25% (2/8)40% (4/10)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
3527
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.540.86
Goals prevented
0.54-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Kolbe N. ↓, Zeefuik D. ↑,
  • 18', Demme D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sarenren Bazee N. ↓, Young I. ↑,
  • 64', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
  • 65', Handwerker T. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
  • 67', 1 - 0, Seguin P. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
  • 75', Momuluh T. 🟨,
  • 79', Worl M. 🟨,
  • 82', Reese F. 🟨,
  • 83', Worl M. ↓, Mehlem M. ↑,
  • 83', Momuluh T. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
  • 85', Leistner T. 🟥,
  • 87', Schneider L. ↓, Yasar E. ↑,
  • 88', Demme D. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
  • 90', Winkler M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Leitl S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Russo S. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Hertha Berlin
47.6%		Draw
28.2%		Arminia Bielefeld
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 26% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
    •

    Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.98 ↓
    (2.03)    		 3.34 ↓
    (3.56)    		 3.91 ↑
    (3.26)    		 6.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hertha Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 25 - 73.5%). Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 58.7% – 88.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 7 - 70%). Arminia (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Arminia (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Arminia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Arminia (2.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Arminia (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Arminia (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Arminia (votes: 8 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2.
    • Hertha is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arminia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Hertha is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Jensen L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Arminia: Hilterman J. (Shoulder Injury) Richter D. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    12.12.2025 Greuther Fürth - Hertha Berlin 3:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg 0:2 ✺
    02.12.2025 Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern 6:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Braunschweig 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
    13.12.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern 0:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Preußen Münster 1:2 ✺
    23.11.2025 Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher 4:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke29177541:251658
    2Paderborn29176651:341757
    3Hannover29158649:351453
    4Elversberg29157749:321752
    5Darmstadt291311550:341650
    6Hertha Berlin29138843:34947
    7Kaiserslautern291441149:41846
    8Karlsruher SC291171147:53-640
    9Nurnberg291071238:40-237
    10Bochum29991143:41236
    11SG Dynamo Dresden29881347:47032
    12Holstein Kiel29881336:43-732
    13Arminia Bielefeld29871442:44-231
    14Dusseldorf29941627:45-1831
    15Magdeburg29931746:55-930
    16Braunschweig29861531:49-1830
    17Greuther Furth29861540:61-2130
    18Preussen Munster296101331:47-1628

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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