Result
0:2
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 1, Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 3 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (381/452) | 84% (401/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (381/452) | 84% (401/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (42/62) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/109) | 53% (46/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 34', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽,
- 45+3', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gechter L. ↓, Eitschberger J. ↑,
- 46', Jensen L. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
- 47', Eitschberger J. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. (Pen),
- 60', Eichhorn K. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
- 60', Winkler M. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
- 64', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 64', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 78', Kownacki D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
- 79', Tigges S. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 79', Castaneda S. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
- 86', Sessa K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bilbija F. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hertha Berlin
30.7% | Draw
27.6% | Paderborn
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Hertha Berlin - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2.75) |
3.64 ↓
(3.8) |
2.38 ↑
(2.35) |
-1.2%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hertha Berlin - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Hertha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J.
(Ankle Injury)
Demme D.
(Head Injury)
Goller T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Karbownik M.
(Ankle Injury)
Klemens P.
(Ankle Injury)
Kolbe N.
(Broken rib)
Seguin P.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
Kinsombi D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Hertha: Eichhorn K.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hertha Berlin won against Paderborn?
Hertha Berlin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Hertha Berlin?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hertha Berlin - Paderborn were as follows:
19.01.2025
Paderborn
-
Hertha Berlin
1:2
03.08.2024
Hertha Berlin
-
Paderborn
1:2
05.04.2024
Paderborn
-
Hertha Berlin
2:3
28.10.2023
Hertha Berlin
-
Paderborn
3:1
Latest results of Hertha Berlin
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Hannover | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Paderborn | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Preussen Munster | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Dusseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Hertha Berlin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Bochum | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
