Result
5:2
22/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 23
- Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (341/426) | 75% (263/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.26 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.47 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (341/426) | 75% (263/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/58) | 34% (21/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (79/110) | 75% (56/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 4.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Klaas S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Scheller T. ⚽,
- 35', Klaas S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
- 39', 2 - 1, Schuler L. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
- 45+4', 3 - 1, Batzner N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Schuler L. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
- 46', Cuisance M. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
- 46', Eitschberger J. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 1, Baur M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 67', Muller R. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
- 68', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 68', 5 - 1, Obermair R. ⚽,
- 70', 5 - 2, Brekalo J. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
- 74', Seguin P. 🟨,
- 75', Gechter L. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
- 83', Brackelmann C. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
- 83', Winkler M. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
43% | Draw
26.4% | Hertha Berlin
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Paderborn - Hertha Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.2) |
3.56 ↓
(3.62) |
3.05 ↑
(3.04) |
6.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Hertha Berlin?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 61.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Hertha (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Hertha (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Inactive)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hertha: Demme D.
(Head Injury)
Eichhorn K.
(Ankle Injury)
Kolbe N.
(Injury)
Krattenmacher M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zeefuik D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Bilbija F.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Hertha Berlin?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hertha Berlin won against Paderborn?
Hertha Berlin has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
20.09.2025
Hertha Berlin
-
Paderborn
0:2
19.01.2025
Paderborn
-
Hertha Berlin
1:2
03.08.2024
Hertha Berlin
-
Paderborn
1:2
05.04.2024
Paderborn
-
Hertha Berlin
2:3
28.10.2023
Hertha Berlin
-
Paderborn
3:1
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 41:25 | 16 | 58 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 51:34 | 17 | 57 |
| 3 | Hannover | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 49:35 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 50:34 | 16 | 50 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 47:53 | -6 | 40 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Bochum | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43:41 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 27:45 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 46:55 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 30 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 40:61 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
