Ulm 1846 vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 10
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.47
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
80% (310/389)75% (275/368)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.49
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
1637
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (310/389)75% (275/368)
Long passes
38% (23/60)35% (18/51)
Passes in final third
58% (64/110)50% (49/98)
Crosses
29% (7/24)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.69
Fouls
1611
Tackles
67% (8/12)73% (19/26)
Duels won
4768
Clearances Total
3344
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.490.81
Goals prevented
-1.51-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Keller A. , Krattenmacher M. (A),
  • 21', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Sessa K. , Thorsteinsson J. D. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Reese F. , Thorsteinsson J. D. (A),
  • 50', 1 - 2, Reese F. , Gechter L. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 2, Dressel D. ,
  • 65', Brandt M. , Hyrylainen L. ,
  • 65', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
  • 73', Zeefuik D. , Winkler M. ,
  • 76', Scherhant D. , Niederlechner F. ,
  • 83', Krattenmacher M. , Roser L. ,
  • 83', Telalovic S. , Kahvic A. ,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Niederlechner F. ,
  • 85', Cuisance M. , Bouchalakis A. ,
  • 86', Gaal T. 🟨,
  • 86', Niederlechner F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kenny J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29%
Draw
27.9%
Hertha Berlin
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.5% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.6% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Ulm 1846 aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3.26)
    3.41
    (3.42)
    2.19
    (2.16)
    5.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hertha Berlin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Hertha will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ulm: Higl F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. A. (Ankle Injury) Dudziak J. (Groin Injury) Hussein B. (Ankle Injury) Maza I. (Yellow Cards) Schuler L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hertha: Klemens P. (Head Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Hertha Berlin - Ulm 1846 2:2
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    12.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg 1:0
    06.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 2:1
    28.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1
    20.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 2:0
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke28167539:241555
    2Paderborn28166647:311654
    3Elversberg28157648:301852
    4Darmstadt281311450:321850
    5Hannover28148647:351250
    6Hertha Berlin28138743:331047
    7Kaiserslautern281341148:41743
    8Nurnberg281071138:38037
    9Karlsruher SC281071143:52-937
    10Bochum28891139:40-133
    11Arminia Bielefeld28871341:40131
    12Dusseldorf28941526:43-1731
    13Magdeburg28931643:51-830
    14Braunschweig28861430:45-1530
    15SG Dynamo Dresden28781345:47-229
    16Holstein Kiel28781334:42-829
    17Greuther Furth28851540:61-2129
    18Preussen Munster28691331:47-1627

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