Ulm 1846 vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Winter N. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.81
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
69% (174/252)86% (379/443)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.68
Total shots
714
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
07
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1133
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
916
Passes
69% (174/252)86% (379/443)
Long passes
32% (19/59)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
44% (37/84)70% (74/105)
Crosses
15% (2/13)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.80
Fouls
169
Tackles
63% (12/19)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4754
Clearances Total
2422
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.682.16
Goals prevented
0.681.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Telalovic S. , Keller A. (A),
  • 29', El-Zein A. , Krempicki C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Dressel D. 🟨,
  • 68', Batista Meier O. , Krattenmacher M. ,
  • 77', Atik B. 🟨,
  • 77', Hercher P. , Teixeira B. ,
  • 77', Nollenberger A. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 79', Telalovic S. , Hyrylainen L. ,
  • 79', Higl F. , Roser L. ,
  • 83', Burcu L. , Baars M. ,
  • 87', Higl F. 🟨,
  • 90', Brandt M. 🟨,
  • 90', Brandt M. , Chessa D. ,
  • 90+7', Krempicki C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
28.8%
Draw
26.8%
Magdeburg
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.3% 26.5% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.1% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.29
    (3.58)
    3.53
    (3.55)
    2.12
    (1.99)
    6%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 1 - 20%). Magdeburg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Ulm (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ulm (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Magdeburg (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Ulm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Magdeburg will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Ulm: Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Bockhorn H. (Knee Injury) El Hankouri M. (Groin Injury) Heber D. (Thigh Injury) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury) Musonda L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ulm: Strompf P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Magdeburg: Muller T. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Magdeburg - Ulm 1846 0:0
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    06.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 2:1
    28.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1
    20.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 2:0
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0
    08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    06.04.2025 Magdeburg - Kaiserslautern 2:0
    29.03.2025 Hannover - Magdeburg 0:0
    21.03.2025 Odra Opole - Magdeburg 1:1
    14.03.2025 Magdeburg - Hamburger SV 0:3
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke31197548:282064
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern311441349:46346
    8Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    9Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    10Bochum311091245:44139
    11Holstein Kiel311081340:43-338
    12SG Dynamo Dresden31981450:50035
    13Arminia Bielefeld31981446:47-135
    14Braunschweig31971534:50-1634
    15Dusseldorf311041730:48-1834
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga