Ulm 1846 vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
20/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 10
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.47
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
103
Passes
80% (310/389)75% (275/368)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.811.49
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
103
Touches in opposition box
1637
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
80% (310/389)75% (275/368)
Long passes
38% (23/60)35% (18/51)
Passes in final third
58% (64/110)50% (49/98)
Crosses
29% (7/24)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.69
Fouls
1611
Tackles
67% (8/12)73% (19/26)
Duels won
4768
Clearances Total
3344
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.490.81
Goals prevented
-1.51-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Keller A. , Krattenmacher M. (A),
  • 21', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Sessa K. , Thorsteinsson J. D. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Reese F. , Thorsteinsson J. D. (A),
  • 50', 1 - 2, Reese F. , Gechter L. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 2, Dressel D. ,
  • 65', Brandt M. , Hyrylainen L. ,
  • 65', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
  • 73', Zeefuik D. , Winkler M. ,
  • 76', Scherhant D. , Niederlechner F. ,
  • 83', Krattenmacher M. , Roser L. ,
  • 83', Telalovic S. , Kahvic A. ,
  • 84', 2 - 3, Niederlechner F. ,
  • 85', Cuisance M. , Bouchalakis A. ,
  • 86', Gaal T. 🟨,
  • 86', Niederlechner F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kenny J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
29%
Draw
27.9%
Hertha Berlin
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.5% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.6% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Ulm 1846 aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (3.26)
    3.41
    (3.42)
    2.19
    (2.16)
    5.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hertha Berlin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Hertha will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ulm: Higl F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. A. (Ankle Injury) Dudziak J. (Groin Injury) Hussein B. (Ankle Injury) Maza I. (Yellow Cards) Schuler L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hertha: Klemens P. (Head Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Hertha Berlin - Ulm 1846 2:2
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    12.04.2025 Ulm 1846 - Magdeburg 1:0
    06.04.2025 Schalke 04 - Ulm 1846 2:1
    28.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt 2:1
    20.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 2:0
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke31197548:282064
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern311441349:46346
    8Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    9Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    10Bochum311091245:44139
    11Holstein Kiel311081340:43-338
    12SG Dynamo Dresden31981450:50035
    13Arminia Bielefeld31981446:47-135
    14Braunschweig31971534:50-1634
    15Dusseldorf311041730:48-1834
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

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