HFX Wanderers vs Valour: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Canadian Premier League HFX Wanderers - Valour
Result
3:1
01/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Canadian Premier League
  • Referee: Shaw-MacLaren C. (Can)
HFX Wanderers - Valour - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.700.59
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
85% (406/476)78% (214/275)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.700.59
xG on target (xGOT)
3.150.93
Total shots
144
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
316
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
85% (406/476)78% (214/275)
Long passes
71% (44/62)32% (15/47)
Passes in final third
70% (111/158)58% (38/65)
Crosses
11% (4/35)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.510.29
Throw-ins
2629
Fouls
1015
Tackles
50% (7/14)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
2547
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.933.15
Goals prevented
-0.070.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Venancio X. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Williams K. ,
  • 45+1', Bai Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 60', Pearlman A. 🟨,
  • 61', Layne J. , Pop E. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Coimbra T. , Johnston I. (A),
  • 71', Bai Y. , Bahamboula J. ,
  • 72', Venancio X. , Froese K. ,
  • 72', Williams K. , Faria J. ,
  • 72', Mlah S. , Ressurreicao D. ,
  • 78', Telfer R. , Vitor Dias ,
  • 80', Rea S. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Vitor Dias , Bahamboula J. (A),
  • 86', 3 - 1, Coimbra T. ,
  • 88', Callegari L. , Rampersad A. ,
  • 89', Rea S. , Biello A. ,
  • 89', Coimbra T. , Probo G. ,
  • 89', Alarcon R. , Morgan M. ,
  • 90+4', Faria J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
53.8%
Draw
25.1%
Valour
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 24.2% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 23.2% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • HFX Wanderers - Valour Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.62)
    3.65
    (3.75)
    4.33
    (4.58)
    9.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - Valour?
  • Users Predictions: HFX Wanderers will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HFX Wanderers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 2.
    • In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Valour is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • HFX Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Valour were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Valour - HFX Wanderers 0:1
    21.09.2024 Valour - HFX Wanderers 1:1
    17.08.2024 Valour - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    18.07.2024 HFX Wanderers - Valour 3:1
    20.05.2024 HFX Wanderers - Valour 1:2
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    Latest results of Valour
    22.06.2025 Valour - Forge 0:5
    15.06.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Valour 3:0
    04.06.2025 Valour - Vancouver FC 3:1
    01.06.2025 Valour - Pacific FC 0:0
    25.05.2025 Cavalry - Valour 4:0
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Ottawa1384130:151528
    2Forge1376023:101327
    3HFX Wanderers1373318:13524
    4Cavalry1263320:11921
    5York Utd1343619:18115
    6Pacific FC1323812:24-129
    7Valour1222810:29-198
    8Vancouver FC1314814:26-127

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of HFX Wanderers - Valour?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaOneSoccer
    usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
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