Result
0:3
11/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 3.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/586) | 81% (252/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 3.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 2.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/586) | 81% (252/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 39% (13/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (164/203) | 74% (55/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/36) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Pearlman A. ⚽, Biello A. (A),
- 40', Callegari L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Alarcon R. 🟨,
- 60', Ressurreicao D. 🟨,
- 61', Bai Y. ↓, Coimbra T. ↑,
- 65', Ohin R. ↓, Venancio X. ↑,
- 65', Faria J. ↓, Voytsekhovskyi M. ↑,
- 68', Biello A. ↓, Gagnon-Lapare J. ↑,
- 70', Rushenas A. 🟨,
- 76', 0 - 2, Johnston I. ⚽, Sow K. (A),
- 79', Ressurreicao D. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
- 79', Froese K. ↓, Figueiredo B. ↑,
- 81', Pearlman A. 🟨,
- 83', Konincks D. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 3, Coimbra T. (Pen),
- 87', Twardek K. 🟨,
- 87', Alphonse J. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
- 87', Johnston I. ↓, Vasconcelos C. ↑,
- 88', Morgan M. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Valour
33% | Draw
27.4% | HFX Wanderers
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valour's performance.HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HFX Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Valour - HFX Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↓
(3.3) |
3.39 ↑
(3.35) |
2.34 ↑
(2.02) |
7.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Valour - HFX Wanderers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valour (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valour won 1.
- Valour has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HFX Wanderers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HFX Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valour won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:25. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valour won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against HFX Wanderers?
Valour has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Valour?
HFX Wanderers has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valour - HFX Wanderers were as follows:
22.08.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Valour
4:1
01.07.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Valour
3:1
25.04.2025
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
0:1
21.09.2024
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
1:1
17.08.2024
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
2:1
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge ✔ | 28 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Cavalry ✔ | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers ✔ | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | York Utd ✔ | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Valour | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35:62 | -27 | 26 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:59 | -29 | 23 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
