HFX Wanderers vs Valour – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League HFX Wanderers - Valour
Result
4:1
22/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.50
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
179
Shots on target
93
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
80% (350/437)75% (261/347)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.040.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.63
Total shots
179
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
80% (350/437)75% (261/347)
Long passes
60% (36/60)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
71% (135/191)48% (25/52)
Crosses
31% (5/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.17
Throw-ins
2911
Fouls
1111
Tackles
76% (13/17)79% (22/28)
Duels won
4755
Clearances
518
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.632.00
Goals prevented
-0.37-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Facchineri G. (Own goal),
  • 40', Alphonse J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 57', 2 - 0, Coimbra T. (Pen),
  • 59', Mlah S. , Ressurreicao D. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Coimbra T. , Rea S. (A),
  • 74', Egwu K. , Venancio X. ,
  • 74', Pop E. , Faria J. ,
  • 74', Venancio X. 🟨,
  • 75', Vitor Dias , Rampersad A. ,
  • 76', Alphonse J. , Timoteo W. ,
  • 76', Romeo R. , Konincks D. ,
  • 77', 4 - 0, Coimbra T. , Johnston I. (A),
  • 78', Coimbra T. 🟨,
  • 79', Johnston I. , Biello A. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Ressurreicao D. ,
  • 85', Coimbra T. , Bahamboula J. ,
  • 85', Pearlman A. , Dunn J. ,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
56.9%
Draw
23.1%
Valour
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 22.6% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 22.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • HFX Wanderers - Valour Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.57)
    3.98
    (4)
    4.59
    (4.59)
    9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - Valour?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 3.
    • HFX Wanderers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Valour has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, HFX Wanderers is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Valour were as follows:
    01.07.2025 HFX Wanderers - Valour 3:1
    25.04.2025 Valour - HFX Wanderers 0:1
    21.09.2024 Valour - HFX Wanderers 1:1
    17.08.2024 Valour - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    18.07.2024 HFX Wanderers - Valour 3:1
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    Latest results of Valour
    17.08.2025 Valour - York United 0:0
    10.08.2025 Valour - Atlético Ottawa 1:2
    02.08.2025 Forge - Valour 5:0
    29.07.2025 Valour - Cavalry 2:1
    25.07.2025 Vancouver FC - Valour 1:3
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge25158246:202653
    2Atl. Ottawa25149250:252551
    3Cavalry25116841:301139
    4HFX Wanderers24105936:29735
    5York Utd2496939:32733
    6Valour24641428:54-2622
    7Pacific FC25561424:50-2621
    8Vancouver FC24361529:53-2415

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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