Result
3:1
01/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Shaw-MacLaren C. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (406/476) | 78% (214/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (406/476) | 78% (214/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (44/62) | 32% (15/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (111/158) | 58% (38/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/35) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 3.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Venancio X. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Williams K. ⚽,
- 45+1', Bai Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 60', Pearlman A. 🟨,
- 61', Layne J. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Coimbra T. ⚽, Johnston I. (A),
- 71', Bai Y. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
- 72', Venancio X. ↓, Froese K. ↑,
- 72', Williams K. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 72', Mlah S. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
- 78', Telfer R. ↓, Vitor Dias ↑,
- 80', Rea S. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Vitor Dias ⚽, Bahamboula J. (A),
- 86', 3 - 1, Coimbra T. ⚽,
- 88', Callegari L. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
- 89', Rea S. ↓, Biello A. ↑,
- 89', Coimbra T. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
- 89', Alarcon R. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
- 90+4', Faria J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HFX Wanderers
53.8% | Draw
25.1% | Valour
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
HFX Wanderers - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.62) |
3.65 ↓
(3.75) |
4.33 ↓
(4.58) |
9.4%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - Valour?
Users Predictions:
HFX Wanderers will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HFX Wanderers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 2.
- In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valour is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HFX Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Valour?
HFX Wanderers has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against HFX Wanderers?
Valour has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Valour were as follows:
25.04.2025
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
0:1
21.09.2024
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
1:1
17.08.2024
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
2:1
18.07.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Valour
3:1
20.05.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Valour
1:2
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 35:13 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 37:17 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 5 | York Utd | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 25 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:34 | -13 | 19 |
| 7 | Valour | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19:43 | -24 | 14 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
