Result
3:1
01/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Shaw-MacLaren C. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | OneSoccer |
Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.70 | 0.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
85% (406/476) | 78% (214/275) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.70 | 0.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.15 | 0.93 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 6 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
85% (406/476) | 78% (214/275) |
Long passes |
---|
71% (44/62) | 32% (15/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (111/158) | 58% (38/65) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (4/35) | 0% (0/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.51 | 0.29 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 29 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
25 | 47 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.93 | 3.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.07 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Venancio X. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Williams K. ⚽,
- 45+1', Bai Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 60', Pearlman A. 🟨,
- 61', Layne J. ↓, Pop E. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Coimbra T. ⚽, Johnston I. (A),
- 71', Bai Y. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
- 72', Venancio X. ↓, Froese K. ↑,
- 72', Williams K. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
- 72', Mlah S. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
- 78', Telfer R. ↓, Vitor Dias ↑,
- 80', Rea S. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Vitor Dias ⚽, Bahamboula J. (A),
- 86', 3 - 1, Coimbra T. ⚽,
- 88', Callegari L. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
- 89', Rea S. ↓, Biello A. ↑,
- 89', Coimbra T. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
- 89', Alarcon R. ↓, Morgan M. ↑,
- 90+4', Faria J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HFX Wanderers 53.8% | Draw 25.1% | Valour 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Valour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valour than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
HFX Wanderers - Valour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.62) |
3.65 ↓ (3.75) |
4.33 ↓ (4.58) |
9.4% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - Valour?
Users Predictions:
HFX Wanderers will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HFX Wanderers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 2.
- In recent matches, HFX Wanderers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valour is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HFX Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Valour?
HFX Wanderers has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valour won against HFX Wanderers?
Valour has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - Valour were as follows:
25.04.2025
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
0:1
21.09.2024
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
1:1
17.08.2024
Valour
-
HFX Wanderers
2:1
18.07.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Valour
3:1
20.05.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Valour
1:2
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Cavalry | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 25 |
4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
7 | Valour | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:35 | -19 | 11 |
8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)