Result
4:2
03/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.57 | 2.36 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.11% (4/36) | 10% (2/20) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 91.43% (32/35) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (1/7) | 16.67% (1/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (5/6) | 85.71% (6/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 37.29 | 62.71 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 10:03, Juhola P. (2 min),
- 13:15, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
- 14:41, 1 - 0, Ashbrook T. (G), Palmu P. (A), Josling S. (A2)
- 15:27, Melart I. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:55, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 02:30, 1 - 1, Puutio K. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Noiva N. (A2)
- 08:45, Somervuori J. (2 min),
- 14:14, Karjalainen M. (2 min),
- 17:22, Nyman L. (2 min),
- 18:43, Sebok B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 01:18, 2 - 1, Makiaho D. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Karjalainen J. (A2)
- 01:59, Talaja R. (2 min),
- 04:07, 3 - 1, Karjalainen J. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Sund T. (A2)
- 05:29, 3 - 2, Juhola P. (G), Boelius L. (A), Talaja R. (A2)
- 14:15, (2 min),
- 17:41, Ragnarsson J. (2 min),
- 19:57, 4 - 2, Somppi O. (G), Melart I. (A), Palmu P. (A2)
Chances of winning
HIFK
34.1% | Draw
24.6% | Ässät
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HIFK's performance.Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ässät might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ässät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HIFK - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(3.52) |
3.75 ↓
(4.53) |
2.28 ↑
(1.81) |
7.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for HIFK - Ässät?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 54:48. (average 2.7:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 2.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Ässät?
HIFK has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against HIFK?
Ässät has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Ässät were as follows:
01.11.2025
HIFK
-
Ässät
3:0
18.10.2025
Ässät
-
HIFK
5:0
08.08.2025
HIFK
-
Ässät
1:2
26.02.2025
Ässät
-
HIFK
3:4
29.01.2025
HIFK
-
Ässät
4:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
