Result
1:4
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 3.08 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.45% (1/29) | 19.05% (4/21) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80.95% (17/21) | 96.55% (28/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 48.33 | 51.67 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 03:31, Maatta R. (2 min),
- 06:39, 0 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Salmela S. (A2)
- 15:52, 0 - 2, Pakarinen I. (G), Uronen A. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 07:36, 0 - 3, Repo S. (G), Palmu P. (A),
- 08:33, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
- 11:09, 0 - 4, Pakarinen I. (G), Vanhatalo L. (A),
- 11:30, Palmu P. (2 min),
- 19:19, 1 - 4, Lipiainen V. (G), Maatta R. (A), Fabre D. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 07:37, Lehtera J. (5 min),
- 13:53, Anttalainen A. (2 min),
- 17:21, Olofsson J. (2 min),
- 17:46, Riihinen P. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ässät
44% | Draw
23.9% | HIFK
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ässät - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.19) |
3.84 ↓
(4.13) |
2.92 ↑
(2.69) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ässät - HIFK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 2 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- Recent performances by Ässät have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HIFK is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ässät is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 47:54. (average 2.4:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 3:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against HIFK?
Ässät has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Ässät?
HIFK has won 10 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - HIFK were as follows:
03.12.2025
HIFK
-
Ässät
4:2
01.11.2025
HIFK
-
Ässät
3:0
18.10.2025
Ässät
-
HIFK
5:0
08.08.2025
HIFK
-
Ässät
1:2
26.02.2025
Ässät
-
HIFK
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 58 | 35 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 220:140 | 116 |
| 2 | KooKoo ✔ | 58 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 206:149 | 109 |
| 3 | SaiPa ✔ | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 4 | Ilves | 58 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 181:147 | 104 |
| 5 | JYP | 58 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 194:170 | 103 |
| 6 | Lukko | 58 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 175:151 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 58 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 161:158 | 91 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 59 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 154:155 | 87 |
| 10 | IFK Helsinki ✔ | 58 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 140:179 | 82 |
| 11 | Pelicans ✔ | 58 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 133:151 | 82 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 58 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 140:161 | 73 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 58 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 136:168 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 58 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 128:161 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 58 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 168:191 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 59 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 38 | 107:209 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
KooKoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
SaiPa is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
IFK Helsinki is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Pelicans is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
