Result
3:1
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 7
- Referee: Redder M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.33 | 2.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
78% (342/439) | 78% (324/413) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.33 | 2.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 0.95 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
78% (342/439) | 78% (324/413) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (16/60) | 38% (24/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (80/123) | 52% (49/95) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 50% (8/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.88 | 1.63 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
24 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 81% (13/16) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 65 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.95 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.05 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Justinussen A. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Kallsberg P. ⚽,
- 26', Allen C. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
- 43', 3 - 0, Boje-Larsen L. ⚽,
- 45', Alkhoudari B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽,
- 54', Larsen S. 🟨,
- 57', 🟨,
- 64', Rasmussen M. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
- 64', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 67', Kallsberg P. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 67', Etim M. ↓, Veltz M. ↑,
- 73', Glindtvad W. 🟨,
- 77', Schmidt N. ↓, Alicino A. ↑,
- 77', Glindtvad W. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
- 78', Sorensen V. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 85', Jakobsen N. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
- 85', Mudi ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hillerød 59.4% | Draw 22.4% | HB Køge 18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Hillerød - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↑ (1.53) |
4.21 ↓ (4.47) |
5.19 ↓ (5.32) |
7.2% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hillerød - HB Køge?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 4.
- Recent performances by Hillerød have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Køge is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Hillerød is the clear favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against HB Køge?
Hillerød has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Hillerød?
HB Køge has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - HB Køge were as follows:
25.04.2025
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
3:0
13.04.2025
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
0:2
02.12.2024
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
1:5
16.08.2024
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
4:2
05.05.2024
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
1:1
Latest results of Hillerød
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Horsens | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
2 | Esbjerg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
3 | Kolding IF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
4 | Hillerod | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
5 | Lyngby | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
6 | B.93 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Hvidovre IF | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
8 | Aarhus Fremad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Hobro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
10 | Aalborg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Koge | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Middelfart | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )