Result
3:1
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 7
- Referee: Redder M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 2.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (342/439) | 78% (324/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 2.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (342/439) | 78% (324/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (16/60) | 38% (24/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (80/123) | 52% (49/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Justinussen A. ⚽,
- 23', 2 - 0, Kallsberg P. ⚽,
- 26', Allen C. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
- 43', 3 - 0, Boje-Larsen L. ⚽,
- 45', Alkhoudari B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 3 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽,
- 54', Larsen S. 🟨,
- 57', 🟨,
- 64', Rasmussen M. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
- 64', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Gothler A. ↑,
- 67', Kallsberg P. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 67', Etim M. ↓, Veltz M. ↑,
- 73', Glindtvad W. 🟨,
- 77', Schmidt N. ↓, Alicino A. ↑,
- 77', Glindtvad W. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
- 78', Sorensen V. ↓, Hald S. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 85', Jakobsen N. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
- 85', Mudi ↓, Dorgu I. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hillerød
59.4% | Draw
22.4% | HB Køge
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Hillerød - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.53) |
4.21 ↓
(4.47) |
5.19 ↓
(5.32) |
7.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hillerød - HB Køge?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 7 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 4.
- Recent performances by Hillerød have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Køge is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Hillerød is the clear favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against HB Køge?
Hillerød has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Hillerød?
HB Køge has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - HB Køge were as follows:
25.04.2025
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
3:0
13.04.2025
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
0:2
02.12.2024
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
1:5
16.08.2024
Hillerød
-
HB Køge
4:2
05.05.2024
HB Køge
-
Hillerød
1:1
Latest results of Hillerød
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Horsens | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 | Aalborg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | B.93 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Koge | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 11 | Hobro | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
