Hillerød vs HB Køge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Hillerød - HB Køge
Result
3:0
25/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 28
  • Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.41
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
236
Shots on target
133
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
137
Passes
90% (573/636)75% (213/285)
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.530.41
xG on target (xGOT)
3.390.54
Total shots
236
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
163
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
137
Touches in opposition box
338
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
135
Passes
90% (573/636)75% (213/285)
Long passes
47% (26/55)39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
84% (160/190)60% (39/65)
Crosses
33% (11/33)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.25
Throw-ins
168
Fouls
513
Tackles
75% (6/8)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
1133
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
310
xGOT faced
0.543.39
Goals prevented
0.540.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Hald S. 🟥,
  • 56', Schmidt N. , Alicino A. ,
  • 64', Culhaci G. , Sorensen M. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Etim M. (Pen),
  • 74', Arndal-Lauritzen G. , Moller R. ,
  • 74', Arndal T. , Al Mosawe A. ,
  • 74', Chacon M. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 74', Al Naser M. , Salah M. ,
  • 77', Etim M. , Veltz M. ,
  • 77', Due Grandt M. , Koktvedgaard T. ,
  • 82', Jensen Tue C. , Alkhoudari B. ,

Chances of winning


Hillerød
56.7%
Draw
23.4%
HB Køge
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 20.7% 15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 19.9% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hillerød's form might have worsened.
  • HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hillerød, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Hillerød - HB Køge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.48)
    3.98
    (4.55)
    4.71
    (6.02)
    7.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hillerød - HB Køge?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 3.
    • Hillerød is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Køge is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Hillerød is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hillerød won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - HB Køge were as follows:
    13.04.2025 HB Køge - Hillerød 0:2
    02.12.2024 HB Køge - Hillerød 1:5
    16.08.2024 Hillerød - HB Køge 4:2
    05.05.2024 HB Køge - Hillerød 1:1
    19.04.2024 Hillerød - HB Køge 1:1
    Latest results of Hillerød
    20.04.2025 Hillerød - Roskilde 5:2
    13.04.2025 HB Køge - Hillerød 0:2
    04.04.2025 Hillerød - Hobro 2:0
    28.03.2025 Vendsyssel - Hillerød 0:0
    Latest results of HB Køge
    21.04.2025 HB Køge - Hobro 0:2
    17.04.2025 Roskilde - HB Køge 1:1
    13.04.2025 HB Køge - Hillerød 0:2
    04.04.2025 HB Køge - Vendsyssel 0:0
    29.03.2025 B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge 2:2
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Koge22004:136
    2Lyngby21103:124
    3Horsens21102:114
    4Hillerod11002:113
    5Kolding IF21012:203
    6B.9320202:202
    7Hvidovre IF10101:101
    8Aarhus Fremad20111:2-11
    9Middelfart10011:2-10
    10Aalborg10010:1-10
    11Esbjerg10010:2-20
    12Hobro10010:2-20

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