HJK vs Dinamo Minsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Nalbandyan H. (Arm)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 12, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.931.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
78
Blocked Shots
36
Free Kicks
209
Corner Kicks
410
Offsides
24
Throw-ins
2227
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
920
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
23
Total Passes
413363
Completed Passes
313273
Crosses Completed
65
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Alfred S. 🟨,
  • 40', Polyakov D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Moller L. ,
  • 56', Sedko P. , Pedro Igor ,
  • 56', Selyava A. , Kalinin V. ,
  • 62', Antzoulas G. 🟨,
  • 65', Hostikka S. , Bande H. ,
  • 67', Kulikov D. , Amian B. ,
  • 71', Moller L. 🟨,
  • 79', Moller L. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 79', Erwin L. , Plange L. ,
  • 80', Gavrilovich A. , Shkolik I. ,
  • 80', Demchenko N. , Melnichenko T. ,
  • 82', Melnichenko T. 🟥,
  • 83', Plange L. (Pen),
  • 89', Antzoulas G. , Lyons-Foster B. ,
  • 90+10', Kalinin V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HJK
38.9%
Draw
29.1%
Dinamo Minsk
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.9% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 28.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • HJK - Dinamo Minsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.1)
    3.24
    (3.3)
    2.95
    (3.25)
    5.9%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for HJK - Dinamo Minsk?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Minsk: 18.5%61.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • HJK has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Dinamo Minsk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of HJK
    19.10.2024 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 1:0
    06.10.2024 HJK - Haka 0:1
    03.10.2024 Lugano - HJK 3:0
    28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1
    20.09.2024 VPS Vaasa - HJK 1:1
    Latest results of Dinamo Minsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2