HJK vs Olimpija Ljubljana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League HJK - Olimpija Ljubljana
Result
0:2
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCanal+ Live 13
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.38
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
105
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
40
Free Kicks
1617
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
13
Throw-ins
2019
Goalkeeper Saves
23
Fouls
1716
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
433387
Completed Passes
343304
Crosses Completed
40
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Brest M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kojic D. , Muhamedbegovic A. ,
  • 51', Ylitolva M. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Brest M. , Lasickas J. (A),
  • 63', Lasickas J. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Agba P. , Brest M. (A),
  • 72', Ylitolva M. , Bande H. ,
  • 72', Hostikka S. , Plange L. ,
  • 72', Antzoulas G. , Lyons-Foster B. ,
  • 72', Kokcu O. , Lingman L. ,
  • 75', Pinto D. , Thalisson ,
  • 75', Brest M. , Govea J. ,
  • 79', Bande H. 🟨,
  • 80', Boultam R. , Blanco A. ,
  • 84', Moller L. , Tanaka A. ,
  • 85', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
  • 89', Toivio J. 🟨,
  • 89', Durdov I. , Ristic M. ,

Chances of winning


HJK
24.7%
Draw
27.7%
Olimpija Ljubljana
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 29.1% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 28.5% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK's form might have worsened.
  • Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpija Ljubljana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • HJK - Olimpija Ljubljana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (2.8)
    3.39
    (3.15)
    1.97
    (2.4)
    6.6%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for HJK - Olimpija Ljubljana?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. HJK will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Olimpija will win (votes: 13 - 65%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpija: 44.1%85.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • HJK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Olimpija is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Olimpija will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in HJK: Halme A. (Injury) Ost J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Olimpija: Marin A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.5:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams HJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4
    Latest results of HJK
    24.10.2024 HJK - Dinamo Minsk 1:0
    19.10.2024 KuPS Kuopio - HJK 1:0
    06.10.2024 HJK - Haka 0:1
    03.10.2024 Lugano - HJK 3:0
    28.09.2024 HJK - Ilves 0:1
    Latest results of Olimpija Ljubljana
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)