St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal St. Pauli - Hoffenheim
28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
39.9%
Draw
27.1%
Hoffenheim
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.1% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 28.2% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.37)
    3.44
    (3.5)
    2.83
    (2.9)
    7.1%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • St. Pauli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hoffenheim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    02.11.2024 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3
    04.10.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 1:0
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1
    20.09.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 1:4
    13.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:4
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    2SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    3CottbusHannover1 : 0
    4SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    5FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    6Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    7BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    8PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    9DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    10MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    11Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    12UlmElversberg0 : 1
    13LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    14RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    15EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    16RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    17LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    18Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    19HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    20BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    21SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    22LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    23Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    24GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    25SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    26BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    27HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    28FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    29RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    30WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1IllertissenMagdeburg
    2CottbusRB Leipzig
    3Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld
    4HeidenheimHamburger SV
    5B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC
    6Hertha BerlinElversberg
    7Greuther FurthKaiserslautern
    8Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund
    9DarmstadtSchalke
    10AugsburgBochum
    11DusseldorfFreiburg
    12PaderbornBayer Leverkusen
    13MainzStuttgart
    14WolfsburgHolstein Kiel
    15FC KolnBayern Munich
    16St. PauliHoffenheim