St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Hoffenheim
Result
1:0
14/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 4
brazilBrazilCanais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoSuperSport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.20
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
104
Shots on Goal
50
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
112
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
86
Offsides
23
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
01
Throw-ins
2327
Touches in the Opposition Box
1812
Passes
74% (271/364)77% (375/485)
Passes in the final third
55% (55/100)55% (58/106)
Crosses
36% (8/22)25% (5/20)
Tackles
57% (4/7)60% (12/20)
Clearances Total
4739
Interceptions
127

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Weisshaupt N. , Treu P. (A),
  • 55', Stach A. 🟨,
  • 57', Orban G. , Tabakovic H. ,
  • 57', Tohumcu U. , Bulter M. ,
  • 71', Kaderabek P. , Gendrey V. ,
  • 71', Becker F. O. , Toure B. ,
  • 73', Saad E. , Eggestein J. ,
  • 73', Weisshaupt N. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 73', Van Der Heyden S. , Ritzka L. ,
  • 85', Jurasek D. , Yardimci E. ,
  • 86', Sinani D. , Boukhalfa C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
41.7%
Draw
29.4%
Hoffenheim
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 27.7% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.32)
    3.27
    (3.47)
    3.32
    (3.12)
    4%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 22 - 53.7%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 38.4%69%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).
    • St. Pauli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • St. Pauli will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Arthur Chaves (Yellow Cards) Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Bulter M. (Muscle Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1
    22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0
    15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    01.03.2025 Bochum - Hoffenheim 0:1
    23.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Stuttgart 1:1
    16.02.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 1:3
    08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga