St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

St. Pauli
39.9%

Draw
27.1%

Hoffenheim
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.37)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.83 ↓ (2.9)	7.1% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

St. Pauli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hoffenheim's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hoffenheim?

St. Pauli has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against St. Pauli?

Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Hoffenheim were as follows:

19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3

14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0

02.11.2024 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:2

Latest results of St. Pauli

19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3 ✺

04.10.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 1:0 ✺

27.09.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Hoffenheim

19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:4 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/32-finals

1	Illertissen	Nurnberg	4 : 3
2	Saarbrucken	Magdeburg	1 : 3
3	Cottbus	Hannover	1 : 0
4	Sandhausen	RB Leipzig	2 : 4
5	FC Gutersloh	Union Berlin	0 : 5
6	Arminia Bielefeld	Werder Bremen	1 : 0
7	Bahlinger	Heidenheim	0 : 5
8	Pirmasens	Hamburger SV	1 : 2
9	Delmenhorst	B. Monchengladbach	2 : 3
10	Meuselwitz	Karlsruher SC	0 : 5
11	Preussen Munster	Hertha Berlin	0 : 1
12	Ulm	Elversberg	0 : 1
13	Lohne	Greuther Furth	0 : 2
14	RSV Eintracht	Kaiserslautern	0 : 7
15	Engers	Eintracht Frankfurt	0 : 5
16	RW Essen	Dortmund	0 : 1
17	Lubeck	Darmstadt	1 : 2
18	Lokomotive Leipzig	Schalke	0 : 1
19	Hallescher	Augsburg	0 : 2
20	BFC Dynamo	Bochum	1 : 3
21	Schweinfurt	Dusseldorf	2 : 4
22	Lotte	Freiburg	0 : 2
23	Viktoria Koln	Paderborn	1 : 3
24	Grossaspach	Bayer Leverkusen	0 : 4
25	SG Dynamo Dresden	Mainz	0 : 1
26	Braunschweig	Stuttgart	4 : 5
27	Hemelingen	Wolfsburg	0 : 9
28	FC 08 Homburg	Holstein Kiel	0 : 2
29	Regensburg	FC Koln	1 : 2
30	Wehen	Bayern Munich	2 : 3
31	Norderstedt	St. Pauli	0 : 1
32	Hansa Rostock	Hoffenheim	0 : 4

1/16-finals

1	Illertissen	Magdeburg
2	Cottbus	RB Leipzig
3	Union Berlin	Arminia Bielefeld
4	Heidenheim	Hamburger SV
5	B. Monchengladbach	Karlsruher SC
6	Hertha Berlin	Elversberg
7	Greuther Furth	Kaiserslautern
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	Dortmund
9	Darmstadt	Schalke
10	Augsburg	Bochum
11	Dusseldorf	Freiburg
12	Paderborn	Bayer Leverkusen
13	Mainz	Stuttgart
14	Wolfsburg	Holstein Kiel
15	FC Koln	Bayern Munich
16	St. Pauli	Hoffenheim