St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 4
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	SuperSport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.95	0.20
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Goal Attempts
10	4
Shots on Goal
5	0
Shots off Goal
2	2
Blocked Shots
3	2
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
11	2
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	4
Free Kicks
8	6
Offsides
2	3
Fouls
6	8
Yellow Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
23	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	12
Passes
74% (271/364)	77% (375/485)
Passes in the final third
55% (55/100)	55% (58/106)
Crosses
36% (8/22)	25% (5/20)
Tackles
57% (4/7)	60% (12/20)
Clearances Total
47	39
Interceptions
12	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Weisshaupt N. ⚽, Treu P. (A),
55', Stach A. 🟨,
57', Orban G. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
57', Tohumcu U. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
71', Kaderabek P. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
71', Becker F. O. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
73', Saad E. ↓, Eggestein J. ↑,
73', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
73', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
85', Jurasek D. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
86', Sinani D. ↓, Boukhalfa C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
41.7%

Draw
29.4%

Hoffenheim
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.32)	3.27 ↓ (3.47)	3.32 ↑ (3.12)	4% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Hoffenheim?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 22 - 53.7%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 38.4% – 69%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 13).
St. Pauli has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
St. Pauli will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Hoffenheim: Arthur Chaves (Yellow Cards) Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Bulter M. (Muscle Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Hoffenheim?

St. Pauli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against St. Pauli?

Hoffenheim has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Hoffenheim were as follows:

02.11.2024 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:2

Latest results of St. Pauli

08.03.2025 Wolfsburg - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund 0:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Mainz - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 St. Pauli - Freiburg 0:1 ✺

09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Hoffenheim

09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Bochum - Hoffenheim 0:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Stuttgart 1:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 1:3 ✺

08.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 0:4 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	6:0	6	3
2	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	0:6	-6	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga